Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Arizona State

63.8%Massachusetts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMassachusetts -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL159.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMassachusetts -176

Massachusetts

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 77

Projected Total159.9

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 83

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricMassachusetts

51MMH Power Index51.5

108.1Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.9Defensive Efficiency106.7

-2.8Net Efficiency3.6

7.0Strength of Schedule0.9

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

70.6Tempo72.8

51.3%Effective FG%53.2%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.9%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

40.2%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-1.9Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Massachusetts HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMassachusetts holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.5–51.0), offensive efficiency (110.3–108.1), defensive efficiency (106.7–110.9), net efficiency (3.6–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–0.9), ball security (17.1–17.9), free throw rate (40.2–37.7).

Final

Arizona State

78—62

Massachusetts

Arizona State by 16 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATMassachusetts

28-62FG23-60

45.0%FG%38.0%

8-203PT6-16

40.0%3PT%38.0%

14-16FT10-18

88.0%FT%56.0%

44Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists12

13Turnovers11

6Steals7

8Blocks8

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Basheer Jihad	Forward	29	8-12	1-3	3-3	8	1	3	3	20
Jayden Quaintance	F	36	8-14	0-0	3-4	11	1	1	4	19
Alston Mason	Guard	34	3-8	2-5	5-6	5	6	1	1	13
BJ Freeman	Guard	26	4-8	1-2	2-2	4	5	1	0	11
Adam Miller	G	26	3-6	2-4	1-1	7	1	0	0	9
Joson Sanon	G	26	2-9	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Amier Ali	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Connor Braun	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quentin McCoy	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bobby Hurley	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rahsool Diggins	Guard	37	8-17	4-8	4-5	1	2	1	0	24
Daniel Rivera	F	24	3-8	0-0	3-5	9	1	1	2	9
Malek Abdelgowad	F	24	4-9	0-1	0-0	5	0	2	1	8
Akil Watson	F	17	2-5	2-3	1-2	6	0	0	0	7
Shah Muhammad	F	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	6
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	21	2-6	0-1	0-0	2	5	2	0	4
Jayden Ndjigue	G	28	0-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	1	2
Jaylen Curry	G	26	1-6	0-1	0-2	1	4	0	1	2
Tarique Foster	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Nate Guerengomba	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amadou Doumbia	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

108.9Offensive Efficiency86.6

86.6Defensive Efficiency108.9

22.3Net Efficiency-22.3

51.6%Effective FG%43.3%

56.0%True Shooting %45.2%

17.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

25.8%Free Throw Rate30.0%

32.3%3-Point Rate26.7%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.