Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Colorado State

73.1%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -272

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 71

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreNevada 78

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricNevada

55.4MMH Power Index59.8

117.1Offensive Efficiency112.4

109.9Defensive Efficiency105.7

7.2Net Efficiency6.7

0.4Strength of Schedule3.7

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

64.7Tempo67.7

58.6%Effective FG%50.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

41.2%Free Throw Rate46.0%

4.6Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nevada HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNevada holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–55.4), defensive efficiency (105.7–109.9), strength of schedule (3.7–0.4), recent form (7.8–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–112.4), net efficiency (7.2–6.7), shooting efficiency (58.6–50.2).

Final

Colorado State

66—64

Nevada

Colorado State by 2 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATNevada

22-47FG23-56

47.0%FG%41.0%

6-203PT6-16

30.0%3PT%38.0%

16-19FT12-20

84.0%FT%60.0%

29Rebounds37

2Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists14

10Turnovers9

4Steals2

1Blocks3

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	34	5-13	0-3	6-7	12	3	1	0	16
Kyan Evans	G	30	5-8	3-5	3-3	4	2	1	0	16
Rashaan Mbemba	F	24	4-7	0-1	2-4	1	0	0	0	10
Keshawn Williams	G	18	2-3	2-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Jalen Lake	Guard	32	2-5	1-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Ethan Morton	Guard	26	2-4	0-2	1-1	2	5	2	0	5
Kyle Jorgensen	F	16	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	12	1-4	0-2	2-2	1	1	0	1	4
Bowen Born	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	32	3-11	1-4	6-8	1	6	0	0	13
Nick Davidson	F	29	6-13	0-2	1-1	4	3	0	1	13
Tre Coleman	Forward	30	4-10	2-3	2-2	3	3	1	1	12
Justin McBride	F	18	3-5	0-1	1-4	8	1	0	0	7
Daniel Foster	Guard	20	2-2	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	5
Tyler Rolison	G	20	2-5	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
K.J. Hymes	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	1	4
Chuck Bailey III	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Brandon Love	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	2
Xavier DuSell	Guard	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

103.4Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency103.4

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

53.2%Effective FG%46.4%

58.9%True Shooting %48.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.2%

40.4%Free Throw Rate35.7%

42.6%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.