California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.7%California Baptist

32.3%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.1

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -210

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 73

Projected Total143.1

Projected ScoreFresno State 70

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricFresno State

58.3MMH Power Index47.1

106.5Offensive Efficiency104.9

99.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

7.5Net Efficiency0.0

1.8Strength of Schedule1.5

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

68.2Tempo69.4

48.8%Effective FG%51.3%

17.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

37.0%Free Throw Rate35.5%

5.1Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–47.1), offensive efficiency (106.5–104.9), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.9), net efficiency (7.5–0.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.3–48.8).

Final

California Baptist

86—69

Fresno State

California Baptist by 17 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATFresno State

34-65FG27-58

52.0%FG%47.0%

9-203PT10-18

45.0%3PT%56.0%

9-11FT5-12

82.0%FT%42.0%

39Rebounds27

12Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists11

9Turnovers10

7Steals5

2Blocks5

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	35	11-18	5-8	2-3	3	4	3	0	29
Bradey Henige	F	14	5-6	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	12
AJ Braun	Forward	17	5-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	11
Martel Williams	G	15	3-5	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Javonte Johnson	Guard	33	3-8	1-4	0-0	6	1	1	0	7
Adam Moussa	Guard	29	2-7	1-3	2-2	5	9	2	1	7
Sam Silverstein	G	26	3-7	0-1	0-0	7	2	1	0	6
Kendal Coleman	Forward	18	2-6	0-2	2-2	5	0	0	0	6
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaon Collins	G	32	6-9	2-2	0-0	2	6	1	1	14
Mykell Robinson	Forward	34	5-14	2-5	1-2	9	1	0	0	13
Jalen Weaver	Guard	36	4-9	2-3	0-0	4	2	1	0	10
Alex Crawford	F	28	3-6	1-1	3-4	2	0	1	2	10
Elijah Price	F	26	4-7	0-1	0-4	5	1	0	2	8
Jasir Tremble	Guard	17	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Brian Amuneke	G	12	1-3	0-1	1-2	1	1	1	0	3
Joshua Bonga	Guard	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Mor Seck	C	9	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

128.4Offensive Efficiency103.0

103.0Defensive Efficiency128.4

25.4Net Efficiency-25.4

59.2%Effective FG%55.2%

61.2%True Shooting %54.2%

13.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

16.9%Free Throw Rate20.7%

30.8%3-Point Rate31.0%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.