Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%Cal Poly

57.1%Omaha

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOmaha -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL164.3

MODEL MONEYLINEOmaha -133

Omaha

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 80

Projected Total164.3

Projected ScoreOmaha 84

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricOmaha

46.5MMH Power Index44.5

107.2Offensive Efficiency110.2

111.0Defensive Efficiency110.8

-3.8Net Efficiency-0.6

1.7Strength of Schedule-2.5

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.5

76.6Tempo69.0

52.2%Effective FG%53.6%

19.8%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

35.8%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-2.9Average Margin-0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Omaha HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOmaha holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.2–107.2), defensive efficiency (110.8–111.0), net efficiency (-0.6–-3.8), shooting efficiency (53.6–52.2).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (46.5–44.5), strength of schedule (1.7–-2.5), recent form (2.4–-4.5).

Final

Cal Poly

82—86

Omaha

Omaha by 4 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATOmaha

26-56FG31-69

46.0%FG%45.0%

12-303PT8-29

40.0%3PT%28.0%

18-19FT16-24

95.0%FT%67.0%

32Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds17

17Assists15

15Turnovers9

5Steals10

2Blocks4

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarred Hyder	Guard	31	6-15	4-10	6-6	3	2	1	0	22
Owen Koonce	Guard	31	7-13	2-5	4-4	5	2	1	1	20
Peter Bandelj	G	31	2-5	1-3	5-6	5	4	0	0	10
Isaac Jessup	Guard	33	3-6	3-6	0-0	7	4	1	0	9
Mac Riniker	Guard	32	3-9	1-4	1-1	5	3	0	1	8
Guzman Vasilic	G	14	1-2	1-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	5
Luka Tarlac	G	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Ethan Menzies	Forward	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Cayden Ward	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marquel Sutton	F	35	10-20	1-5	3-4	9	1	1	1	24
Tony Osburn	G	30	4-8	4-7	4-6	3	2	1	0	16
Kamryn Thomas	F	30	5-11	1-5	3-4	3	1	1	1	14
JJ White	G	27	4-9	0-4	1-5	5	4	1	0	9
Ja'Sean Glover	G	28	2-9	1-4	2-2	13	5	3	2	7
Khamani Cooper	G	14	1-2	1-1	3-3	0	1	2	0	6
Joshua Streit	Forward	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Lance Waddles	G	12	2-6	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Isaac Ondekane	C	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

112.0Offensive Efficiency117.5

117.5Defensive Efficiency112.0

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

57.1%Effective FG%50.7%

63.1%True Shooting %53.5%

20.3%Turnover Rate12.4%

33.9%Free Throw Rate34.8%

53.6%3-Point Rate42.0%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Omaha won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.