Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.7%Portland State

18.3%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -446

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 82

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 72

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricCal State Bakersfield

50.2MMH Power Index32.2

109.3Offensive Efficiency100.2

100.2Defensive Efficiency112.6

9.1Net Efficiency-12.4

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

70.1Tempo73.0

51.7%Effective FG%46.4%

16.6%Turnover Rate18.6%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate43.8%

6.4Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–32.2), offensive efficiency (109.3–100.2), defensive efficiency (100.2–112.6), net efficiency (9.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-5.6), free throw rate (43.8–36.8).

Final

Portland State

59—58

Cal State Bakersfield

Portland State by 1 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

21-39FG20-53

54.0%FG%38.0%

2-93PT4-19

22.0%3PT%21.0%

15-22FT14-17

68.0%FT%82.0%

28Rebounds26

7Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists8

25Turnovers20

8Steals12

4Blocks1

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	38	5-9	0-2	4-5	6	0	2	1	14
Jaylin Henderson	G	35	3-8	0-3	6-8	4	2	2	1	12
Cole Farrell	G	26	5-8	1-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	11
Terri Miller Jr.	F	23	3-5	1-2	1-2	3	0	1	1	8
Qiant Myers	Guard	36	2-5	0-0	0-1	2	2	2	0	4
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Shane Nowell	Guard	15	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	2
Hayden Curtiss	Center	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Kelcy Phipps	G	5	0-0	0-0	2-4	0	0	0	0	2

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	28	6-8	0-0	3-3	4	0	2	1	15
Jaden Alexander	G	25	1-4	1-3	6-6	3	0	1	0	9
Corey Stephenson	G	28	3-9	0-0	2-2	7	0	4	0	8
Marvin McGhee III	G	40	2-9	1-8	2-4	6	1	1	0	7
CJ Hardy	G	30	3-11	0-2	1-2	0	1	2	0	7
Jemel Jones	G	15	2-6	1-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	5
Kadar Waller	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	3
Marvin McGhee IV	G	16	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Shakir Odunewu	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cameron Clark	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

85.8Offensive Efficiency84.3

84.3Defensive Efficiency85.8

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

56.4%Effective FG%41.5%

59.7%True Shooting %47.5%

37.1%Turnover Rate28.5%

56.4%Free Throw Rate32.1%

23.1%3-Point Rate35.8%

0.32Assist / Turnover0.40

Game Summary

Portland State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.