Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.8%Illinois

16.2%Missouri

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -517

Missouri

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 83

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreMissouri 73

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricMissouri

76.5MMH Power Index57.2

125.0Offensive Efficiency115.1

103.3Defensive Efficiency109.7

21.7Net Efficiency5.4

6.7Strength of Schedule5.0

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

66.5Tempo68.8

54.8%Effective FG%55.2%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.8%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

33.8%Free Throw Rate43.1%

14.5Average Margin3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–57.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–115.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.7), net efficiency (21.7–5.4).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.2–54.8), free throw rate (43.1–33.8).

Final

Illinois

80—77

Missouri

Illinois by 3 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATMissouri

25-57FG23-58

44.0%FG%40.0%

8-263PT3-13

31.0%3PT%23.0%

22-23FT28-37

96.0%FT%76.0%

42Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists6

17Turnovers9

4Steals12

3Blocks3

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	37	5-11	3-7	8-8	2	4	1	0	21
Kylan Boswell	G	36	2-12	1-5	11-12	9	5	1	0	16
Tre White	G	26	5-7	0-1	3-3	8	0	0	0	13
Tomislav Ivisic	C	25	5-8	1-2	0-0	10	1	0	2	11
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	14	3-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	19	3-4	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	0	6
Ben Humrichous	F	21	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Will Riley	Forward	17	1-8	1-6	0-0	2	2	1	0	3
Jake Davis	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Carey Booth	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tony Perkins	Guard	37	5-11	0-1	8-9	6	3	3	0	18
Mark Mitchell	G	33	6-12	0-2	6-12	6	2	2	1	18
Tamar Bates	Guard	33	5-11	1-2	6-6	4	0	3	0	17
Jacob Crews	G	16	1-5	1-3	4-4	3	0	0	0	7
Marcus Allen	G	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Aidan Shaw	G	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Marques Warrick	Guard	8	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Trent Pierce	G	18	1-4	0-3	0-2	4	0	0	0	2
Anthony Robinson II	G	15	0-3	0-1	2-2	1	0	3	0	2
Peyton Marshall	C	7	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Josh Gray	Center	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

107.7Offensive Efficiency103.6

103.6Defensive Efficiency107.7

4.0Net Efficiency-4.0

50.9%Effective FG%42.2%

58.9%True Shooting %50.9%

23.3%Turnover Rate11.9%

40.4%Free Throw Rate63.8%

45.6%3-Point Rate22.4%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Illinois won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.