Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.3%Montana State

76.7%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -329

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 72

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreTCU 80

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricTCU

53.6MMH Power Index59.7

114.4Offensive Efficiency110.2

104.9Defensive Efficiency102.7

9.5Net Efficiency7.5

-3.7Strength of Schedule4.6

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.1Tempo70.2

55.1%Effective FG%50.5%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.5Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.4–110.2), net efficiency (9.5–7.5), recent form (4.9–2.2), shooting efficiency (55.1–50.5).

TCU COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.7–53.6), defensive efficiency (102.7–104.9), strength of schedule (4.6–-3.7).

Final

Montana State

48—82

TCU

TCU by 34 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATTCU

19-54FG24-59

35.0%FG%41.0%

5-263PT8-23

19.0%3PT%35.0%

5-9FT26-29

56.0%FT%90.0%

22Rebounds46

3Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists12

14Turnovers10

5Steals8

3Blocks1

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	28	7-12	2-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	18
Brandon Walker	F	18	3-10	0-2	2-4	5	1	0	0	8
Patrick McMahon	G	21	2-7	1-4	0-0	2	2	1	1	5
Brian Goracke	Forward	16	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Tyler Patterson	Guard	21	2-7	0-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Jabe Mullins	Guard	20	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Bryce Zephir	G	12	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
BJ Kolly	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Jed Miller	G	17	0-2	0-2	1-3	3	1	2	0	1
Chika Nduka	Forward	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Jeremiah Davis	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Lecholat	Forward	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Reynolds	Guard	29	1-5	0-2	13-14	2	5	0	0	15
Trazarien White	Forward	26	5-11	3-8	0-0	2	0	1	0	13
Vasean Allette	PG	33	3-11	0-1	5-5	4	4	0	0	11
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	24	3-6	0-0	3-3	5	0	4	0	9
David Punch	F	22	3-6	0-1	2-4	8	1	1	1	8
Micah Robinson	F	18	3-5	1-3	1-1	5	0	0	0	8
Jace Posey	G	21	2-8	1-4	0-0	7	1	1	0	5
Malick Diallo	C	13	1-3	0-0	2-2	10	0	1	0	4
Isaiah Manning	F	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Drew McElroy	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Cole Despie	Guard	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Adam Stewart	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trey Stuart	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

69.5Offensive Efficiency118.7

118.7Defensive Efficiency69.5

-49.2Net Efficiency49.2

39.8%Effective FG%47.5%

41.2%True Shooting %56.3%

20.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

16.7%Free Throw Rate49.2%

48.1%3-Point Rate39.0%

0.57Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

TCU won by 34 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.