Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.5%Saint Louis

43.5%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -130

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 78

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 75

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricGrand Canyon

66.7MMH Power Index59.8

120.8Offensive Efficiency109.2

97.6Defensive Efficiency99.1

23.2Net Efficiency10.1

0.3Strength of Schedule2.0

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

72.2Tempo69.3

59.9%Effective FG%52.1%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.6%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

33.9%Free Throw Rate41.0%

16.8Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.8), offensive efficiency (120.8–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–99.1), net efficiency (23.2–10.1).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–0.3), recent form (9.7–0.1), free throw rate (41.0–33.9).

Final

Saint Louis

72—73

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon by 1 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATGrand Canyon

25-57FG27-65

44.0%FG%42.0%

12-323PT8-23

38.0%3PT%35.0%

10-17FT11-19

59.0%FT%58.0%

34Rebounds44

5Offensive Rebounds13

16Assists15

8Turnovers9

7Steals3

—Blocks6

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	39	6-17	4-14	1-2	2	8	1	17
Kalu Anya	F	31	4-5	0-0	4-8	8	1	3	12
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	38	3-8	3-5	2-2	2	0	0	11
Kobe Johnson	Guard	34	4-7	3-5	0-1	5	0	1	11
Robbie Avila	C	27	4-11	1-5	2-2	6	5	0	11
Amari McCottry	G	22	3-6	0-1	1-2	4	1	2	7
Kilian Brockhoff	F	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	3
Dylan Warlick	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0
Max Pikaar	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Collin Moore	Guard	28	6-12	3-7	5-5	7	2	0	3	20
Ray Harrison	Guard	32	6-11	4-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	16
JaKobe Coles	Forward	28	4-14	0-4	3-4	3	4	0	0	11
Duke Brennan	F	23	3-6	0-0	1-2	9	1	0	1	7
Lok Wur	Forward	30	3-6	0-1	0-1	7	1	3	2	6
Makaih Williams	G	27	2-5	0-3	1-2	2	3	0	0	5
Caleb Shaw	G	11	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	21	1-8	0-1	1-5	8	3	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

104.2Offensive Efficiency105.6

105.6Defensive Efficiency104.2

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

54.4%Effective FG%47.7%

55.3%True Shooting %49.3%

11.8%Turnover Rate12.9%

29.8%Free Throw Rate29.2%

56.1%3-Point Rate35.4%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.