Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Utah State

74.4%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -291

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 71

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 78

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricSaint Mary's

65.7MMH Power Index70.7

119.7Offensive Efficiency116.7

103.1Defensive Efficiency97.4

16.6Net Efficiency19.3

3.5Strength of Schedule3.0

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

68.6Tempo66.3

56.9%Effective FG%53.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.6%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

39.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

11.4Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–65.7), defensive efficiency (97.4–103.1), net efficiency (19.3–16.6), recent form (18.6–0.3).

Utah State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.7–116.7), strength of schedule (3.5–3.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–53.1).

Final

Utah State

75—68

Saint Mary's

Utah State by 7 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATSaint Mary's

30-51FG24-54

59.0%FG%44.0%

6-173PT10-25

35.0%3PT%40.0%

9-11FT10-19

82.0%FT%53.0%

31Rebounds27

4Offensive Rebounds9

23Assists20

14Turnovers12

5Steals9

1Blocks—

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mason Falslev	G	29	8-11	0-2	2-2	5	2	0	0	18
Karson Templin	F	15	5-9	3-6	0-0	1	2	1	1	13
Ian Martinez	Guard	37	4-10	0-4	3-4	6	5	0	0	11
Aubin Gateretse	Center	24	5-7	0-0	0-1	4	2	0	0	10
Jordy Barnes	G	23	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	4	3	0	6
Deyton Albury	G	17	1-2	0-0	4-4	2	3	0	0	6
Isaac Johnson	C	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Dexter Akanno	Guard	32	1-4	1-2	0-0	7	3	1	0	3
Tucker Anderson	F	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	3

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Mitchell Saxen	Center	34	7-11	0-0	4-8	6	4	3	18
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	38	4-13	2-8	2-2	1	8	2	12
Mikey Lewis	G	16	4-8	3-5	1-3	1	1	2	12
Paulius Murauskas	F	29	4-10	1-4	0-1	4	1	1	9
Luke Barrett	Forward	40	2-4	2-3	2-3	7	2	1	8
Ashton Hardaway	F	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	5
Joshua Dent	G	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	3	0	3
Jordan Ross	G	15	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1
Harry Wessels	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Andrew McKeever	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Cade Bennett	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

113.5Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency113.5

10.6Net Efficiency-10.6

64.7%Effective FG%53.7%

66.7%True Shooting %53.9%

21.1%Turnover Rate18.2%

21.6%Free Throw Rate35.2%

33.3%3-Point Rate46.3%

1.64Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Utah State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.