Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%Murray State

50.8%Charlotte

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCharlotte -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINECharlotte -103

Charlotte

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 79

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreCharlotte 80

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricCharlotte

53.6MMH Power Index49.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency113.3

4.0Net Efficiency-1.7

3.5Strength of Schedule2.9

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

72.3Tempo65.7

54.0%Effective FG%53.7%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.2%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

39.1%Free Throw Rate37.2%

2.9Average Margin-1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–49.3), offensive efficiency (115.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (111.0–113.3), net efficiency (4.0–-1.7).

Charlotte COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-5.2–-9.5), offensive rebounding (33.7–32.7).

Final

Murray State

90—94

Charlotte

Charlotte by 4 • 80.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATCharlotte

29-69FG28-60

42.0%FG%47.0%

6-263PT4-18

23.0%3PT%22.0%

26-36FT34-36

72.0%FT%94.0%

32Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists7

7Turnovers14

5Steals4

3Blocks5

27Fouls25

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylen Milton	Guard	48	8-15	2-5	10-16	7	1	0	0	28
AJ Ferguson	Guard	44	8-14	2-5	3-4	6	0	1	1	21
Terence Harcum	Guard	45	4-13	2-10	7-7	0	4	0	0	17
JaCobi Wood	Guard	45	4-12	0-3	1-3	5	4	0	0	9
Nick Ellington	F	14	2-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	2	1	6
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Alden Applewhite	F	22	0-5	0-2	3-4	1	1	2	1	3
Justin Morgan	Guard	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Charlotte

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nik Graves	G	48	9-20	1-6	12-12	8	4	3	1	31
Giancarlo Rosado	Forward	36	7-11	2-2	7-8	5	1	0	1	23
Robert Braswell IV	Forward	39	2-8	0-2	7-8	3	0	0	1	11
Jaehshon Thomas	G	23	2-5	1-2	4-4	3	0	0	0	9
Kylan Blackmon	G	23	2-3	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	8
Rich Rolf	F	32	3-5	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Dean Reiber	Forward	14	2-6	0-4	0-0	4	1	0	1	4
Isaiah Folkes	Guard	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Nika Metskhvarishvili	Forward	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ben Bradford	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.6Possessions80.6

111.7Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency111.7

-5.0Net Efficiency5.0

46.4%Effective FG%50.0%

52.3%True Shooting %61.0%

8.5%Turnover Rate17.7%

52.2%Free Throw Rate60.0%

37.7%3-Point Rate30.0%

1.43Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Charlotte won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 80.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.