Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.6%Mercer

23.4%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -327

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 81

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 73

Team Comparison

MercerMetricGeorgia State

54.1MMH Power Index38.9

116.6Offensive Efficiency101.3

106.5Defensive Efficiency107.5

10.1Net Efficiency-6.2

-4.4Strength of Schedule-1.7

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

70.9Tempo69.5

53.8%Effective FG%45.3%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.6%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

38.9%Free Throw Rate37.4%

7.2Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–38.9), offensive efficiency (116.6–101.3), defensive efficiency (106.5–107.5), net efficiency (10.1–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.4).

Final

Mercer

71—68

Georgia State

Mercer by 3 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATGeorgia State

27-65FG28-70

42.0%FG%40.0%

10-323PT6-22

31.0%3PT%27.0%

7-12FT6-14

58.0%FT%43.0%

36Rebounds46

9Offensive Rebounds17

16Assists11

11Turnovers9

6Steals7

2Blocks4

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ahmad Robinson	G	37	8-18	2-5	3-4	9	10	3	1	21
Tyler Johnson	Guard	34	7-15	3-10	2-2	2	0	0	0	19
Cam Bryant	Forward	28	4-7	3-6	0-0	2	1	0	1	11
Alex Holt	Forward	32	4-6	0-0	2-6	4	0	0	0	10
Jah Nze	Guard	10	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Jah Quinones	Guard	16	1-4	1-3	0-0	6	2	1	0	3
Brady Shoulders	G	16	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	2
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	19	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Marcus Overstreet	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cesare Edwards	Center	28	9-15	0-1	2-2	2	0	2	1	20
Zarique Nutter	F	40	6-15	0-0	2-8	4	4	0	1	14
Malachi Brown	G	28	5-14	4-8	0-0	5	1	1	1	14
Jelani Hamilton	G	27	4-10	1-6	2-2	7	1	1	0	11
Nick McMullen	Forward	34	2-3	1-1	0-2	13	2	0	0	5
Toneari Lane	G	22	2-9	0-5	0-0	1	3	1	0	4
Clash Peters	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	0
Darnell Evans	Guard	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

100.4Offensive Efficiency96.2

96.2Defensive Efficiency100.4

4.2Net Efficiency-4.2

49.2%Effective FG%44.3%

50.2%True Shooting %44.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.1%

18.5%Free Throw Rate20.0%

49.2%3-Point Rate31.4%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Mercer won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.