New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%New Mexico

39.8%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -151

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 77

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreColorado State 74

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricColorado State

63.7MMH Power Index55.4

114.8Offensive Efficiency117.1

100.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

14.6Net Efficiency7.2

2.0Strength of Schedule0.4

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

70.7Tempo64.7

53.7%Effective FG%58.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

36.5%Free Throw Rate41.2%

10.3Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–55.4), defensive efficiency (100.2–109.9), net efficiency (14.6–7.2), strength of schedule (2.0–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–114.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.7), free throw rate (41.2–36.5).

Final

New Mexico

76—68

Colorado State

New Mexico by 8 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATColorado State

31-63FG27-60

49.0%FG%45.0%

7-153PT6-23

47.0%3PT%26.0%

7-9FT8-8

78.0%FT%100.0%

32Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists19

12Turnovers17

10Steals9

1Blocks6

15Fouls9

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	36	7-16	0-1	0-0	2	6	0	0	14
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	24	5-10	0-2	4-4	5	1	1	0	14
CJ Noland	Guard	20	5-7	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	11
Filip Borovicanin	F	24	4-4	2-2	0-1	4	1	4	1	10
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	31	4-9	0-0	1-2	11	1	0	0	9
Kayde Dotson	G	4	2-4	2-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	6
Jovan Milicevic	F	16	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Braden Appelhans	G	16	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	3
Tru Washington	G	20	0-7	0-3	2-2	2	1	1	0	2
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	38	7-17	0-5	3-3	7	6	3	1	17
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	22	6-10	1-3	0-0	9	0	0	0	13
Kyan Evans	G	32	3-7	2-4	2-2	4	3	1	1	10
Jalen Lake	Guard	29	4-10	1-7	0-0	2	2	2	1	9
Kyle Jorgensen	F	22	3-7	2-3	0-0	3	4	1	1	8
Rashaan Mbemba	F	17	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	1	6
Ethan Morton	Guard	19	2-4	0-1	1-1	5	2	0	1	5
Keshawn Williams	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Bowen Born	Guard	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

110.8Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency110.8

11.7Net Efficiency-11.7

54.8%Effective FG%50.0%

56.5%True Shooting %53.3%

17.6%Turnover Rate24.7%

14.3%Free Throw Rate13.3%

23.8%3-Point Rate38.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.12

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.