Jackson State

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.7%Jackson State

97.3%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -25.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -3604

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJackson State 62

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 87

Team Comparison

Jackson StateMetricCalifornia Baptist

30.7MMH Power Index58.3

98.1Offensive Efficiency106.5

117.0Defensive Efficiency99.0

-18.9Net Efficiency7.5

-0.7Strength of Schedule1.8

-6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

71.6Tempo68.2

45.8%Effective FG%48.8%

19.4%Turnover Rate17.9%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

37.9%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-13.5Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–30.7), offensive efficiency (106.5–98.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–117.0), net efficiency (7.5–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.9–37.0).

Final

Jackson State

73—79

California Baptist

California Baptist by 6 • 77.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jackson StateTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

26-64FG22-53

41.0%FG%42.0%

6-213PT5-22

29.0%3PT%23.0%

15-17FT30-36

88.0%FT%83.0%

30Rebounds41

12Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists12

20Turnovers20

10Steals8

3Blocks2

26Fouls19

Player Box Score

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dorian McMillian	G	30	6-10	2-3	6-6	3	1	2	0	20
Daeshun Ruffin	G	27	7-18	2-10	4-4	1	1	2	0	20
Shannon Grant	Center	10	4-5	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	10
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	G	27	2-8	2-5	1-2	6	1	1	1	7
Dylan Canoville	Forward	13	3-5	0-0	1-1	2	1	2	1	7
Keiveon Hunt	G	17	2-6	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	4
Romelle Mansel	Forward	24	1-7	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	1	3
Juan Reyna	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tamarion Hoover	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Marcus Watson Jr.	Guard	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Ebo Wilson	C	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	34	5-13	0-4	15-18	2	5	2	0	25
Martel Williams	G	28	6-10	3-5	6-6	2	1	2	0	21
Kendal Coleman	Forward	25	5-7	0-2	5-5	12	1	1	0	15
AJ Braun	Forward	17	4-8	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	8
Sam Silverstein	G	25	0-3	0-0	4-4	11	1	1	1	4
Javonte Johnson	Guard	29	1-9	1-8	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Adam Moussa	Guard	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Bradey Henige	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-3	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.6Possessions77.6

94.1Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency94.1

-7.7Net Efficiency7.7

45.3%Effective FG%46.2%

50.6%True Shooting %56.3%

25.0%Turnover Rate26.6%

26.6%Free Throw Rate67.9%

32.8%3-Point Rate41.5%

0.40Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 77.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.