Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%Fresno State

75.8%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNLV -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUNLV -313

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 73

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreUNLV 81

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricUNLV

47.1MMH Power Index52.8

104.9Offensive Efficiency111.0

104.9Defensive Efficiency109.6

0.0Net Efficiency1.4

1.5Strength of Schedule2.7

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

69.4Tempo71.4

51.3%Effective FG%53.7%

18.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

35.5%Free Throw Rate41.6%

0.0Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNLV HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNLV holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.8–47.1), offensive efficiency (111.0–104.9), net efficiency (1.4–0.0), strength of schedule (2.7–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–109.6).

Final

Fresno State

77—87

UNLV

UNLV by 10 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATUNLV

27-58FG35-65

47.0%FG%54.0%

13-293PT10-24

45.0%3PT%42.0%

10-16FT7-9

63.0%FT%78.0%

27Rebounds39

6Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists19

9Turnovers10

7Steals5

4Blocks—

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jasir Tremble	Guard	22	7-10	5-7	0-0	2	1	1	0	19
Mykell Robinson	Forward	39	6-14	4-9	2-4	8	7	0	0	18
Jalen Weaver	Guard	34	5-12	3-6	1-1	3	2	0	1	14
Elijah Price	F	35	4-9	0-2	5-9	7	1	2	1	13
Zaon Collins	G	37	3-5	1-2	0-0	4	7	3	1	7
Alex Crawford	F	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Mor Seck	C	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Brian Amuneke	G	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	38	9-17	2-5	1-2	0	6	0	21
Jailen Bedford	G	15	5-9	3-4	5-6	3	1	2	18
Jaden Henley	G	28	6-8	2-2	1-1	5	2	1	15
Pape N'Diaye	F	20	5-6	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	11
Jalen Hill	Forward	27	4-7	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	9
Julian Rishwain	Guard	33	2-9	1-8	0-0	3	5	2	5
Jeremiah Cherry	F	20	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	4
Brooklyn Hicks	G	19	2-5	0-1	0-0	8	3	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

111.8Offensive Efficiency126.3

126.3Defensive Efficiency111.8

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

57.8%Effective FG%61.5%

58.7%True Shooting %62.8%

13.1%Turnover Rate14.4%

27.6%Free Throw Rate13.8%

50.0%3-Point Rate36.9%

2.11Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

UNLV won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.