Stonehill

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Stonehill

66.8%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLafayette -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL138.9

MODEL MONEYLINELafayette -201

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStonehill 67

Projected Total138.9

Projected ScoreLafayette 71

Team Comparison

StonehillMetricLafayette

37.9MMH Power Index39.6

97.5Offensive Efficiency102.9

100.7Defensive Efficiency110.3

-3.2Net Efficiency-7.4

-5.4Strength of Schedule-1.4

-3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

68.1Tempo67.5

48.0%Effective FG%49.4%

19.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

29.2%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-2.2Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–37.9), offensive efficiency (102.9–97.5), strength of schedule (-1.4–-5.4), shooting efficiency (49.4–48.0).

Stonehill COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.7–110.3), net efficiency (-3.2–-7.4), recent form (-3.4–-6.4).

Final

Stonehill

70—65

Lafayette

Stonehill by 5 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StonehillTEAM STATLafayette

24-54FG22-54

44.0%FG%41.0%

9-203PT6-21

45.0%3PT%29.0%

13-20FT15-23

65.0%FT%65.0%

35Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists11

13Turnovers10

4Steals8

4Blocks6

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Stonehill

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Louie Semona	F	27	6-9	3-3	0-0	6	3	2	0	15
Hermann Koffi	G	32	4-8	2-5	3-4	4	0	0	0	13
Josh Morgan	Guard	27	4-9	1-3	4-4	2	1	0	0	13
Amir Nesbitt	Guard	23	3-6	2-2	3-6	2	1	0	1	11
Todd Brogna	F	27	3-7	1-3	2-2	7	3	1	0	9
Chas Stinson	G	32	3-7	0-0	1-4	9	3	1	3	7
Christopher Melis	Forward	5	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ethan Meuser	F	20	0-5	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Neal Marquardt	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Alex Bates IV	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Williams	G	27	5-11	2-6	3-5	3	0	0	1	15
Justin Vander Baan	C	30	5-10	0-1	4-5	11	2	1	3	14
Alex Chaikin	G	33	4-6	2-4	2-2	1	2	2	2	12
Andrew Phillips	G	26	3-8	1-3	2-2	5	4	1	0	9
Mark Butler	G	27	2-7	0-0	2-4	3	3	0	0	6
Ryan Pettit	G	21	1-4	1-3	1-2	3	0	3	0	4
Joshua Wyche	G	12	1-3	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	0	3
Luka Savicevic	G	15	1-5	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Chris Rubayo	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

101.9Offensive Efficiency94.6

94.6Defensive Efficiency101.9

7.3Net Efficiency-7.3

52.8%Effective FG%46.3%

55.1%True Shooting %50.1%

18.7%Turnover Rate14.7%

37.0%Free Throw Rate42.6%

37.0%3-Point Rate38.9%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Stonehill won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.