Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.8%Southern Illinois

77.2%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL135.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -339

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 64

Projected Total135.8

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 72

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricNorthern Iowa

54.6MMH Power Index61

103.4Offensive Efficiency108.4

98.5Defensive Efficiency96.4

4.9Net Efficiency12.0

1.6Strength of Schedule2.2

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

70.6Tempo64.1

49.5%Effective FG%54.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.4%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

32.3%Free Throw Rate26.2%

3.4Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–54.6), offensive efficiency (108.4–103.4), defensive efficiency (96.4–98.5), net efficiency (12.0–4.9).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.1–21.9), free throw rate (32.3–26.2).

Final

Southern Illinois

67—78

Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa by 11 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

26-57FG29-52

46.0%FG%56.0%

8-243PT7-17

33.0%3PT%41.0%

7-13FT13-17

54.0%FT%76.0%

28Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists14

14Turnovers13

7Steals6

2Blocks3

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	32	7-13	4-9	2-3	6	1	0	1	20
Ali Dibba	G	32	4-13	0-4	2-4	2	3	1	0	10
Drew Steffe	G	26	3-7	2-4	0-0	0	2	1	0	8
Rolyns Aligbe	F	23	2-5	1-2	2-2	8	0	0	0	7
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	16	3-6	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Davion Sykes	G	21	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	4
Sheridan Sharp	G	19	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	3	2	0	4
Antwaun Massey	F	7	1-2	0-0	1-3	2	0	1	0	3
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Jorge Moreno	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	2

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Hutson	Center	24	7-10	1-2	5-7	1	1	0	0	20
Tytan Anderson	Guard	30	6-7	0-0	3-3	10	4	2	1	15
Max Weisbrod	G	27	4-7	2-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	10
Ben Schwieger	F	31	3-6	2-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Leon Bond III	F	30	3-7	0-1	2-3	4	3	2	2	8
Trey Campbell	G	22	2-9	1-4	3-4	3	1	2	0	8
Will Hornseth	F	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Kyle Pock	F	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Redek Born	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency117.8

117.8Defensive Efficiency101.2

-16.6Net Efficiency16.6

52.6%Effective FG%62.5%

53.0%True Shooting %64.9%

20.8%Turnover Rate20.0%

22.8%Free Throw Rate32.7%

42.1%3-Point Rate32.7%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.