Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.0%Belmont

23.0%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -335

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 82

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreDrake 75

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricDrake

61.8MMH Power Index46.4

118.6Offensive Efficiency109.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency109.1

14.9Net Efficiency0.4

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.3

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

70.7Tempo68.6

60.7%Effective FG%52.2%

17.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

32.7%Free Throw Rate34.4%

10.5Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–46.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–109.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–109.1), net efficiency (14.9–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.3–-0.2), ball security (14.9–17.8), free throw rate (34.4–32.7).

Final

Belmont

46—65

Drake

Drake by 19 • 58.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATDrake

15-40FG24-51

38.0%FG%47.0%

5-133PT6-19

38.0%3PT%32.0%

11-16FT11-15

69.0%FT%73.0%

24Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists13

16Turnovers10

8Steals13

3Blocks1

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Orme	F	28	4-6	1-3	2-2	4	1	1	1	11
Brody Peebles	Guard	29	4-9	2-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	10
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	24	3-9	0-1	3-4	2	2	1	1	9
Tyler Lundblade	G	22	3-5	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Drew Scharnowski	F	24	1-1	0-0	2-4	5	3	2	0	4
Isaiah Walker	G	31	0-7	0-1	2-2	1	3	1	0	2
Carter Whitt	Guard	17	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	0	2
Brigham Rogers	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	1	1	0
Keith Robbins	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Dykstra	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Win Miller	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	39	8-16	0-3	4-4	3	4	3	0	20
Daniel Abreu	Forward	39	5-11	3-9	2-2	5	3	1	0	15
Mitch Mascari	Guard	39	3-7	3-6	0-0	2	2	3	0	9
Nate Ferguson	Forward	14	3-4	0-0	2-5	4	0	1	0	8
Tavion Banks	G	17	3-5	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	1	6
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	40	1-3	0-0	2-2	8	2	3	0	4
Cam Manyawu	F	10	1-5	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Isaia Howard	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kael Combs	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.4Possessions58.4

78.8Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency78.8

-32.5Net Efficiency32.5

43.8%Effective FG%52.9%

48.3%True Shooting %55.9%

27.8%Turnover Rate16.9%

40.0%Free Throw Rate29.4%

32.5%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Drake won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 58.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.