Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

84.1%Missouri State

15.9%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -529

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 78

Projected Total147.1

Projected ScoreEvansville 69

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricEvansville

51.1MMH Power Index31.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency98.5

108.4Defensive Efficiency112.4

2.1Net Efficiency-13.9

0.5Strength of Schedule1.8

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

67.9Tempo68.0

51.8%Effective FG%50.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate18.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

42.9%Free Throw Rate30.8%

1.4Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–31.6), offensive efficiency (110.5–98.5), defensive efficiency (108.4–112.4), net efficiency (2.1–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.5).

Final

Missouri State

40—57

Evansville

Evansville by 17 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATEvansville

14-54FG18-47

26.0%FG%38.0%

5-253PT8-22

20.0%3PT%36.0%

7-13FT13-20

54.0%FT%65.0%

40Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists10

13Turnovers12

8Steals8

1Blocks4

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dez White	G	37	3-13	3-9	3-4	4	4	6	1	12
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	30	5-8	0-0	0-3	12	1	2	0	10
Zaxton King	G	29	3-8	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Vincent Brady II	G	36	1-12	0-7	3-4	8	0	0	0	5
Jalen Hampton	G	21	1-4	0-1	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Allen Udemadu	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Chase Martin	Guard	23	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Wesley Oba	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Logan Epes	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Haffner	G	40	5-12	3-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	13
Tayshawn Comer	G	40	1-8	0-4	9-12	3	5	1	0	11
Joshua Hughes	F	28	4-11	3-7	0-0	9	0	4	1	11
Tanner Cuff	G	37	3-8	0-1	4-7	9	1	1	1	10
Connor Turnbull	F	20	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	0	6
Kaia Berridge	G	18	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Michael Day	Center	13	1-1	1-1	0-1	4	1	0	1	3
Gui Tesch	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

64.6Offensive Efficiency92.1

92.1Defensive Efficiency64.6

-27.5Net Efficiency27.5

30.6%Effective FG%46.8%

33.2%True Shooting %50.4%

21.3%Turnover Rate19.2%

24.1%Free Throw Rate42.6%

46.3%3-Point Rate46.8%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Evansville won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.