St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.7%St. Thomas-Minnesota

17.3%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -478

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 82

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 72

Team Comparison

St. Thomas-MinnesotaMetricUC Riverside

59.8MMH Power Index41.2

116.8Offensive Efficiency103.1

102.2Defensive Efficiency110.1

14.6Net Efficiency-7.0

-3.6Strength of Schedule0.5

14.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

70.0Tempo70.7

59.2%Effective FG%49.8%

13.9%Turnover Rate18.5%

22.1%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

35.2%Free Throw Rate35.2%

10.2Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–41.2), offensive efficiency (116.8–103.1), defensive efficiency (102.2–110.1), net efficiency (14.6–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.6), offensive rebounding (28.5–22.1).

Final

St. Thomas-Minnesota

79—81

UC Riverside

UC Riverside by 2 • 78.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. Thomas-MinnesotaTEAM STATUC Riverside

27-63FG26-60

43.0%FG%43.0%

8-323PT8-24

25.0%3PT%33.0%

17-20FT21-25

85.0%FT%84.0%

25Rebounds47

3Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists12

9Turnovers19

8Steals3

—Blocks2

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nolan Minessale	G	33	9-16	2-7	7-9	4	1	2	27
Drake Dobbs	Guard	38	5-9	3-5	6-6	4	3	1	19
Miles Barnstable	G	37	4-9	1-3	1-1	0	1	2	10
Ryan Dufault	G	13	3-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	2	7
Kendall Blue	G	37	3-8	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	6
Carter Bjerke	F	31	2-9	2-8	0-0	4	0	0	6
Rich Byhre	Forward	14	1-6	0-5	2-2	0	0	0	4
Ben Nau	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0
Ben Oosterbaan	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Ryan Lafferty	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barrington Hargress	G	40	10-20	4-10	0-0	4	2	2	0	24
Kaleb Smith	F	35	6-14	1-4	5-7	9	1	0	0	18
Nate Pickens	G	32	2-8	1-4	5-6	6	4	0	0	10
Isaiah Moses	G	26	1-5	0-2	6-6	2	2	0	0	8
Joel Armotrading	C	32	2-3	0-0	3-4	11	1	0	2	7
Niyi Olabode	Guard	28	2-5	1-2	2-2	4	2	1	0	7
Rikus Schulte	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Parker Strauss	G	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jack Whitbourn	C	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Gavin Davis	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.2Possessions78.2

101.0Offensive Efficiency103.6

103.6Defensive Efficiency101.0

-2.6Net Efficiency2.6

49.2%Effective FG%50.0%

54.5%True Shooting %56.3%

11.5%Turnover Rate24.4%

31.7%Free Throw Rate41.7%

50.8%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.78Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 78.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.