UT Arlington

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.1%UT Arlington

61.9%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL140.4

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -162

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 69

Projected Total140.4

Projected ScoreTexas State 72

Team Comparison

UT ArlingtonMetricTexas State

49.6MMH Power Index49.4

102.7Offensive Efficiency107.7

97.9Defensive Efficiency103.4

4.8Net Efficiency4.3

-0.8Strength of Schedule-4.7

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

68.1Tempo68.6

48.5%Effective FG%51.3%

20.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

43.7%Free Throw Rate36.0%

3.3Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Arlington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Arlington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–49.4), defensive efficiency (97.9–103.4), net efficiency (4.8–4.3), strength of schedule (-0.8–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.7–102.7), recent form (9.1–-3.9), shooting efficiency (51.3–48.5).

Final

UT Arlington

80—72

Texas State

UT Arlington by 8 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT ArlingtonTEAM STATTexas State

26-51FG20-52

51.0%FG%38.0%

3-103PT4-17

30.0%3PT%24.0%

25-32FT28-35

78.0%FT%80.0%

37Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists11

10Turnovers9

8Steals6

2Blocks3

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Diante Smith	Forward	29	9-11	2-3	4-5	2	0	1	0	24
Lance Ware	Forward	31	8-10	0-0	3-6	12	2	0	1	19
Raysean Seamster	F	17	5-10	0-0	3-3	7	0	1	1	13
Darius Burford	Guard	27	3-6	0-0	2-4	2	1	2	0	8
Brody Robinson	G	34	0-5	0-1	6-6	4	4	0	0	6
Troy Hupstead	F	9	0-0	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	0	4
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	21	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	3
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	5	0-0	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	0	3
Jaden Wells	Guard	18	0-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	2	0	0
Kade Douglas	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	31	9-15	0-1	4-6	8	0	4	1	22
Tylan Pope	Forward	21	4-6	0-0	9-10	4	0	0	2	17
Coleton Benson	G	22	2-7	2-5	3-3	0	0	0	0	9
Joshua O'Garro	G	27	1-6	0-2	4-4	5	0	0	0	6
Drue Drinnon	Guard	19	2-4	1-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	6
Dylan Dawson	Guard	24	1-5	1-5	2-3	1	1	0	0	5
Nate Deer	F	5	0-0	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	3
Kaden Gumbs	G	34	1-9	0-2	0-1	6	9	1	0	2
Austin Green	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Bessanty Saragba	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

118.7Offensive Efficiency106.8

106.8Defensive Efficiency118.7

11.9Net Efficiency-11.9

53.9%Effective FG%42.3%

60.4%True Shooting %52.5%

14.9%Turnover Rate13.3%

62.7%Free Throw Rate67.3%

19.6%3-Point Rate32.7%

0.70Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

UT Arlington won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.