UIC

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%UIC

56.0%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL145.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -127

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUIC 71

Projected Total145.2

Projected ScoreIllinois State 74

Team Comparison

UICMetricIllinois State

56.7MMH Power Index54.3

110.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

103.3Defensive Efficiency101.4

7.2Net Efficiency9.2

0.1Strength of Schedule1.0

9.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

68.3Tempo67.5

50.9%Effective FG%54.3%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

36.8%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

37.2%Free Throw Rate32.0%

4.9Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–103.3), net efficiency (9.2–7.2), strength of schedule (1.0–0.1).

UIC COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (56.7–54.3), recent form (9.2–-4.4), offensive rebounding (36.8–28.3).

Final

UIC

73—67

Illinois State

UIC by 6 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UICTEAM STATIllinois State

24-52FG23-58

46.0%FG%40.0%

8-173PT6-26

47.0%3PT%23.0%

17-22FT15-21

77.0%FT%71.0%

38Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists14

10Turnovers5

3Steals5

1Blocks2

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Saša Ciani	F	22	6-10	0-1	4-7	9	3	0	0	16
Javon Jackson	G	22	4-10	2-3	4-6	2	0	1	0	14
Ahmad Henderson II	G	26	4-7	1-3	3-3	4	4	1	0	12
Tyem Freeman	Guard	33	3-6	2-4	2-2	5	2	0	0	10
Filip Skobalj	Not Available	33	2-3	2-3	2-2	6	0	0	0	8
Jordan Mason	G	31	3-10	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	1	6
Ethan Pickett	G	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Koby Jeffries	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	2

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	34	3-9	2-6	12-14	3	2	0	0	20
Ty Pence	G	26	4-6	0-2	2-2	1	2	0	0	10
Dalton Banks	Guard	36	4-11	0-2	1-2	2	5	2	1	9
Landon Wolf	G	27	3-10	1-6	0-0	4	3	1	0	7
Chase Walker	F	2	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Caden Boser	Forward	23	2-5	1-4	0-1	4	2	0	1	5
Jordan Davis	Guard	26	1-3	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Cade Norris	G	4	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jack Daugherty	F	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Cameron Barnes	F	11	1-4	0-1	0-2	4	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

115.3Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency115.3

9.5Net Efficiency-9.5

53.8%Effective FG%44.8%

58.4%True Shooting %49.3%

16.0%Turnover Rate7.8%

42.3%Free Throw Rate36.2%

32.7%3-Point Rate44.8%

1.30Assist / Turnover2.80

Game Summary

UIC won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.