UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%UCF

81.4%Texas Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Tech -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -438

Texas Tech

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 75

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 85

Team Comparison

UCFMetricTexas Tech

57.1MMH Power Index65.8

113.3Offensive Efficiency117.8

110.0Defensive Efficiency107.2

3.3Net Efficiency10.6

6.6Strength of Schedule9.4

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

71.2Tempo68.1

53.0%Effective FG%56.4%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

31.1%Free Throw Rate28.2%

2.4Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Tech holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–57.1), offensive efficiency (117.8–113.3), defensive efficiency (107.2–110.0), net efficiency (10.6–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.3–32.6), free throw rate (31.1–28.2).

Final

UCF

87—83

Texas Tech

UCF by 4 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATTexas Tech

29-56FG33-72

52.0%FG%46.0%

10-233PT3-16

43.0%3PT%19.0%

19-22FT14-18

86.0%FT%78.0%

34Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds17

9Assists13

14Turnovers10

4Steals6

2Blocks5

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	35	7-10	2-3	8-10	3	4	1	0	24
Keyshawn Hall	F	36	9-13	4-4	0-0	8	2	0	1	22
Moustapha Thiam	C	17	4-6	2-3	0-1	3	1	0	1	10
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	31	1-7	0-4	7-7	0	0	0	0	9
Dallan Coleman	Guard	31	2-4	1-2	2-2	7	1	1	0	7
Jaylin Sellers	G	14	3-6	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	7
Benny Williams	Forward	17	2-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Rokas Jocius	F	9	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Mikey Williams	G	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
JJ Taylor	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Toppin	F	28	11-19	0-2	4-8	10	2	0	4	26
Chance McMillian	Guard	36	4-11	1-4	3-3	2	0	2	0	12
Federiko Federiko	F	21	6-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	12
Darrion Williams	F	28	5-16	0-3	1-1	5	3	2	1	11
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	24	3-8	0-2	5-5	4	3	2	0	11
Kevin Overton	G	33	3-8	2-4	1-1	2	0	0	0	9
Christian Anderson	G	23	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	5	0	0	2
Kerwin Walton	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

119.8Offensive Efficiency114.3

114.3Defensive Efficiency119.8

5.5Net Efficiency-5.5

60.7%Effective FG%47.9%

65.5%True Shooting %51.5%

19.6%Turnover Rate13.6%

39.3%Free Throw Rate25.0%

41.1%3-Point Rate22.2%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

UCF won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.