East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.8%East Carolina

96.2%South Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -23.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -2532

South Florida

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 68

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 91

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricSouth Florida

44.3MMH Power Index68.8

102.0Offensive Efficiency117.3

110.5Defensive Efficiency101.6

-8.5Net Efficiency15.7

2.6Strength of Schedule1.8

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency19.7

70.1Tempo74.5

46.7%Effective FG%51.0%

17.4%Turnover Rate14.9%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %38.0%

40.2%Free Throw Rate41.8%

-5.9Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–44.3), offensive efficiency (117.3–102.0), defensive efficiency (101.6–110.5), net efficiency (15.7–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.6–1.8).

Final

East Carolina

69—75

South Florida

South Florida by 6 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATSouth Florida

22-62FG26-57

35.0%FG%46.0%

3-193PT7-20

16.0%3PT%35.0%

22-27FT16-20

81.0%FT%80.0%

40Rebounds34

15Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists14

14Turnovers13

8Steals9

5Blocks3

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	30	8-13	0-2	4-4	7	1	2	1	20
C.J. Walker	Forward	38	5-10	0-1	6-10	7	0	1	0	16
RJ Felton	Guard	27	2-11	1-6	8-8	8	1	3	0	13
Cam Hayes	Guard	26	3-15	1-7	0-0	2	4	2	0	7
Cyr Malonga	C	16	1-2	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	1	5
Yann Farell	F	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Trevion LaBeaux	G	13	1-1	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	1	3
Tybo Bailey	G	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jayshayne Woodard	G	24	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	2	0
Reid Cason	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Knox	G	26	7-8	3-3	1-3	2	1	1	0	18
Jayden Reid	G	27	1-9	1-4	8-8	5	2	4	0	11
Quincy Ademokoya	Guard	20	3-7	2-5	3-4	1	2	0	0	11
De'Ante Green	F	15	5-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	10
Brandon Stroud	Guard	20	3-5	0-1	3-4	1	1	0	0	9
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	25	3-7	0-1	1-1	11	2	0	3	7
Jimmie Williams	G	23	2-7	0-2	0-0	5	3	3	0	4
Kasen Jennings	G	20	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	3
CJ Brown	G	24	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

94.9Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency94.9

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

37.9%Effective FG%51.8%

46.1%True Shooting %56.4%

19.0%Turnover Rate18.2%

43.5%Free Throw Rate35.1%

30.6%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

South Florida won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.