North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.7%North Carolina

67.3%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -206

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 75

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreLouisville 82

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricLouisville

65.2MMH Power Index67.1

115.5Offensive Efficiency118.6

103.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

11.7Net Efficiency16.4

7.6Strength of Schedule6.0

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.0Tempo71.0

54.6%Effective FG%56.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

38.1%Free Throw Rate34.1%

8.1Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–65.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.5), defensive efficiency (102.2–103.8), net efficiency (16.4–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–6.0), ball security (13.9–16.8), free throw rate (38.1–34.1).

Final

North Carolina

70—83

Louisville

Louisville by 13 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATLouisville

24-60FG26-58

40.0%FG%45.0%

4-163PT6-26

25.0%3PT%23.0%

18-23FT25-39

78.0%FT%64.0%

37Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists14

11Turnovers7

4Steals4

3Blocks4

29Fouls21

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Jackson	G	35	7-15	2-5	7-11	4	1	1	1	23
Drake Powell	Guard	32	6-11	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	14
RJ Davis	Guard	37	4-14	1-5	3-3	3	4	2	0	12
Jalen Washington	C	17	3-5	0-0	1-1	6	0	0	0	7
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	21	1-5	0-0	3-4	9	1	1	2	5
Elliot Cadeau	G	24	1-5	0-2	2-2	2	5	0	0	4
Cade Tyson	G	15	1-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Ty Claude	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	34	5-8	0-2	16-20	2	7	0	0	26
Reyne Smith	Guard	27	6-12	4-10	1-1	0	0	3	0	17
James Scott	F	26	5-6	0-0	1-6	8	1	1	2	11
J'Vonne Hadley	G	27	3-6	0-0	4-5	7	3	0	0	10
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	34	2-12	0-5	3-5	5	2	0	0	7
Noah Waterman	Forward	30	3-9	1-6	0-1	7	0	0	1	7
Khani Rooths	F	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	9	1-3	0-1	0-1	6	1	0	1	2
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

94.3Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency94.3

-17.5Net Efficiency17.5

43.3%Effective FG%50.0%

49.3%True Shooting %54.2%

14.7%Turnover Rate9.5%

38.3%Free Throw Rate67.2%

26.7%3-Point Rate44.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Louisville won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.