Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Valparaiso

65.5%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -190

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 71

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreMissouri State 76

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricMissouri State

49.9MMH Power Index51.1

106.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency108.4

0.8Net Efficiency2.1

0.3Strength of Schedule0.5

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

67.5Tempo67.9

48.7%Effective FG%51.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

40.0%Free Throw Rate42.9%

0.5Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–49.9), offensive efficiency (110.5–106.6), net efficiency (2.1–0.8), strength of schedule (0.5–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–108.4), recent form (-0.1–-2.1), ball security (15.6–16.4).

Final

Valparaiso

73—72

Missouri State

Valparaiso by 1 • 60.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATMissouri State

28-53FG29-50

53.0%FG%58.0%

6-183PT8-18

33.0%3PT%44.0%

11-15FT6-16

73.0%FT%38.0%

25Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists15

8Turnovers14

8Steals5

1Blocks2

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Schwieger	F	26	8-14	2-5	4-4	1	0	0	1	22
Tyler Schmidt	G	34	4-9	2-5	4-4	2	2	2	0	14
All Wright	G	32	6-8	1-1	1-2	2	2	3	0	14
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	37	4-7	1-1	1-2	1	2	1	0	10
Devon Ellis	F	16	3-5	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	7
Justus McNair	G	9	2-5	0-2	0-1	2	0	0	0	4
Kaspar Sepp	F	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	0	0
Carson Schwieger	F	5	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Shaw	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vincent Brady II	G	36	8-9	1-2	2-5	3	2	3	1	19
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	34	6-12	0-0	3-6	9	6	0	0	15
Dez White	G	33	5-8	3-6	0-0	3	3	0	0	13
Makhai Valentine	G	9	3-3	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Wesley Oba	Forward	15	3-4	0-1	0-2	4	0	0	0	6
Logan Epes	G	20	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	5
Zaxton King	G	34	1-5	1-4	1-3	4	3	2	0	4
Chase Martin	Guard	15	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Allen Udemadu	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.4Possessions60.4

120.9Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency120.9

1.7Net Efficiency-1.7

58.5%Effective FG%66.0%

60.7%True Shooting %62.5%

13.5%Turnover Rate22.7%

28.3%Free Throw Rate32.0%

34.0%3-Point Rate36.0%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 60.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.