Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Troy

62.7%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.0

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -168

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 71

Projected Total146.0

Projected ScoreApp State 75

Team Comparison

TroyMetricApp State

54.1MMH Power Index54.2

112.6Offensive Efficiency110.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency101.7

8.7Net Efficiency9.2

-2.2Strength of Schedule-4.2

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

70.4Tempo64.9

52.1%Effective FG%51.1%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.2%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.8%

6.1Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–54.1), defensive efficiency (101.7–103.9), net efficiency (9.2–8.7), recent form (7.0–2.0).

Troy COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.6–110.9), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.2), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.1).

Final

Troy

69—61

App State

Troy by 8 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATApp State

25-57FG21-56

44.0%FG%38.0%

12-353PT8-26

34.0%3PT%31.0%

7-10FT11-16

70.0%FT%69.0%

38Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds10

18Assists14

12Turnovers9

7Steals10

5Blocks2

16Fouls10

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tayton Conerway	G	29	4-4	4-4	4-6	4	8	2	0	16
Thomas Dowd	F	26	4-9	2-7	2-2	6	1	2	0	12
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	23	5-12	2-9	0-0	2	1	0	0	12
Theo Seng	F	14	4-7	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	9
Myles Rigsby	G	26	2-7	0-3	1-2	3	2	1	2	5
Cooper Campbell	G	16	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	5
Jerrell Bellamy	C	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	4
Jackson Fields	F	19	1-4	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Victor Valdes	F	17	1-3	1-2	0-0	6	3	1	0	3
Kerrington Kiel	F	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Randarius Jones	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Tate	Guard	34	7-19	2-8	4-4	4	5	4	0	20
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	30	5-7	0-2	2-4	7	1	2	1	12
Dior Conners	G	30	3-11	3-8	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
CJ Huntley	Forward	36	2-7	0-2	4-5	6	0	0	0	8
Alonzo Dodd	G	34	3-6	2-3	0-0	5	7	3	1	8
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jamil Muttilib	G	8	0-1	0-1	1-3	0	0	0	0	1
Jackson Threadgill	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Wilson	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Anthony Alston	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

110.0Offensive Efficiency97.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency110.0

12.8Net Efficiency-12.8

54.4%Effective FG%44.6%

55.9%True Shooting %48.0%

19.1%Turnover Rate14.4%

17.5%Free Throw Rate28.6%

61.4%3-Point Rate46.4%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Troy won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.