American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%American University

81.3%Navy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNavy -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINENavy -435

Navy

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 66

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreNavy 77

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricNavy

48.2MMH Power Index56.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency113.2

105.8Defensive Efficiency97.6

4.8Net Efficiency15.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-8.1

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency16.4

67.5Tempo65.9

52.6%Effective FG%53.7%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.1%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

30.1%Free Throw Rate40.9%

3.3Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Navy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNavy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–110.6), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.8), net efficiency (15.6–4.8).

American University COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.3–-8.1), ball security (15.7–17.1).

Final

American University

58—81

Navy

Navy by 23 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATNavy

21-56FG30-55

38.0%FG%55.0%

9-333PT5-14

27.0%3PT%36.0%

7-11FT16-23

64.0%FT%70.0%

28Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists22

9Turnovers6

4Steals6

—Blocks4

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Colin Smalls	Guard	29	5-12	4-8	4-6	0	0	1	18
Matt Rogers	Forward	30	5-11	2-5	0-1	8	2	1	12
Greg Jones	F	22	3-5	0-2	3-4	5	2	0	9
Elijah Stephens	Guard	30	3-10	1-7	0-0	2	2	1	7
Matt Mayock	F	26	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	4
Geoff Sprouse	G	17	1-9	1-6	0-0	3	2	1	3
Wyatt Nausadis	G	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	3
Lincoln Ball	Guard	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	2
Mason Whittaker	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0
Julen Iturbe	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Noah Jones	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Adam Holod	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Navy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Kehoe	C	29	8-11	0-0	4-7	11	3	1	1	20
Donovan Draper	F	35	6-7	2-2	3-3	11	8	2	1	17
Austin Benigni	G	32	6-12	1-3	3-3	2	4	1	0	16
Jinwoo Kim	G	33	3-8	1-3	2-6	5	3	0	0	9
Jordan Pennick	G	29	3-8	1-3	2-2	1	2	1	0	9
Mitch Fischer	Forward	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Cam Cole	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Carnegie Johnson	Guard	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	2
Jack Medalie	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Julian Gabbidon	G	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Lysander Rehnstrom	Guard	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Owen Gray	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
David Burnett	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nyles Howard	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Krist	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

90.5Offensive Efficiency126.4

126.4Defensive Efficiency90.5

-35.9Net Efficiency35.9

45.5%Effective FG%59.1%

47.4%True Shooting %61.4%

14.2%Turnover Rate9.2%

19.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

58.9%3-Point Rate25.5%

1.44Assist / Turnover3.67

Game Summary

Navy won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.