Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.1%Northwestern

27.9%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -258

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 78

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScorePenn State 73

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricPenn State

55.4MMH Power Index42.3

111.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency117.6

1.8Net Efficiency-8.4

5.6Strength of Schedule5.3

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

65.6Tempo67.5

51.9%Effective FG%53.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

1.2Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–42.3), offensive efficiency (111.6–109.2), defensive efficiency (109.8–117.6), net efficiency (1.8–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.4–51.9).

Final

Northwestern

80—84

Penn State

Penn State by 4 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATPenn State

28-61FG22-44

46.0%FG%50.0%

6-223PT4-15

27.0%3PT%27.0%

18-21FT36-45

86.0%FT%80.0%

33Rebounds28

16Offensive Rebounds9

19Assists13

16Turnovers17

9Steals9

4Blocks5

30Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	36	8-16	1-2	3-3	11	8	3	1	20
Nick Martinelli	F	39	5-13	0-3	8-10	5	2	1	0	18
Jalen Leach	Not Available	24	2-5	0-2	4-4	2	3	3	0	8
K.J. Windham	G	21	3-5	2-4	0-0	1	2	0	1	8
Angelo Ciaravino	G	9	3-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Justin Mullins	G	18	3-5	0-1	1-1	0	1	0	0	7
Matthew Nicholson	Center	26	2-4	0-0	2-3	7	1	1	2	6
Ty Berry	Guard	14	1-6	1-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Luke Hunger	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Hicks	Forward	27	5-8	3-6	7-9	3	1	0	0	20
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	1-7	0-4	15-16	1	7	5	0	17
Puff Johnson	G	21	2-3	0-1	7-8	3	0	1	0	11
Freddie Dilione V	G	26	5-9	0-2	0-0	2	2	2	1	10
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	28	3-7	0-0	3-5	9	1	0	3	9
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	23	3-4	0-0	3-4	4	2	1	0	9
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	25	3-6	1-2	1-1	4	0	0	1	8
Miles Goodman	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Jahvin Carter	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

110.8Offensive Efficiency116.3

116.3Defensive Efficiency110.8

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

50.8%Effective FG%54.5%

56.4%True Shooting %64.2%

22.5%Turnover Rate23.2%

34.4%Free Throw Rate102.3%

36.1%3-Point Rate34.1%

1.19Assist / Turnover0.76

Game Summary

Penn State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.