South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.8%South Alabama

29.2%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -242

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 75

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 70

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricGeorgia State

51.4MMH Power Index38.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency101.3

103.9Defensive Efficiency107.5

6.4Net Efficiency-6.2

-3.7Strength of Schedule-1.7

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

67.4Tempo69.5

53.2%Effective FG%45.3%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.8%Free Throw Rate37.4%

4.3Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–38.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–101.3), defensive efficiency (103.9–107.5), net efficiency (6.4–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-3.7), offensive rebounding (28.2–24.9).

Final

South Alabama

77—51

Georgia State

South Alabama by 26 • 61.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATGeorgia State

31-66FG18-50

47.0%FG%36.0%

9-303PT9-33

30.0%3PT%27.0%

6-6FT6-14

100.0%FT%43.0%

34Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists13

6Turnovers16

11Steals3

4Blocks2

11Fouls11

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	37	9-17	0-3	4-4	8	3	0	0	22
Judah Brown	Forward	17	5-10	5-9	0-0	1	0	1	0	15
JJ Wheat	G	27	6-6	1-1	0-0	5	4	3	0	13
John Broom	G	26	4-6	2-4	0-0	4	2	3	1	10
Myles Corey	G	28	4-11	1-5	0-0	4	7	3	1	9
Cantia Rahming	Forward	27	1-4	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	2	2
Jayden Cooper	G	13	1-6	0-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	11	1-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Randy Brady	F	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Caleb Kizer	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Toneari Lane	G	29	5-15	5-15	0-0	2	1	0	0	15
Cesare Edwards	Center	33	5-8	0-2	2-2	6	0	0	1	12
Jelani Hamilton	G	31	3-11	2-9	1-2	2	1	1	0	9
Clash Peters	F	22	2-3	0-0	2-4	8	0	0	0	6
Zarique Nutter	F	35	2-6	1-3	0-2	2	4	0	1	5
Malachi Brown	G	33	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	7	1	0	3
Nick McMullen	Forward	17	0-2	0-0	1-4	6	0	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

61.8Possessions61.8

124.6Offensive Efficiency82.5

82.5Defensive Efficiency124.6

42.1Net Efficiency-42.1

53.8%Effective FG%45.0%

55.9%True Shooting %45.0%

9.7%Turnover Rate26.0%

9.1%Free Throw Rate28.0%

45.5%3-Point Rate66.0%

3.17Assist / Turnover0.81

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 61.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.