Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Texas State

69.0%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -223

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 74

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreMarshall 80

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricMarshall

49.4MMH Power Index52

107.7Offensive Efficiency114.7

103.4Defensive Efficiency110.3

4.3Net Efficiency4.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule0.9

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

68.6Tempo70.7

51.3%Effective FG%55.2%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.5%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

36.0%Free Throw Rate29.7%

2.9Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.0–49.4), offensive efficiency (114.7–107.7), net efficiency (4.4–4.3), strength of schedule (0.9–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–110.3), recent form (9.1–-4.9), offensive rebounding (34.3–32.1).

Final

Texas State

71—77

Marshall

Marshall by 6 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATMarshall

27-55FG26-52

49.0%FG%50.0%

4-163PT4-13

25.0%3PT%31.0%

13-22FT21-33

59.0%FT%64.0%

30Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds12

4Assists14

9Turnovers11

6Steals4

2Blocks6

26Fouls22

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	37	6-13	0-4	5-11	5	0	3	1	17
Coleton Benson	G	26	4-10	3-8	5-5	3	1	0	0	16
Kaden Gumbs	G	26	5-8	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	10
Joshua O'Garro	G	27	3-5	0-0	2-3	9	0	0	1	8
Tylan Pope	Forward	18	4-7	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	8
Dylan Dawson	Guard	28	2-7	1-4	0-1	1	0	1	0	5
Drue Drinnon	Guard	18	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Nate Deer	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Austin Green	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Bessanty Saragba	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dezayne Mingo	G	35	7-10	0-1	9-13	5	5	1	0	23
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	34	8-11	0-1	3-7	6	0	0	6	19
Jalen Speer	G	29	4-8	3-6	2-2	1	3	1	0	13
Cade Gibbs	Forward	17	2-3	0-0	3-4	3	0	2	0	7
Mikal Dawson	Guard	20	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Jakob Gibbs	Forward	19	1-3	0-1	2-5	5	1	0	0	4
Ryan Nutter	Guard	17	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Nate Martin	Forward	23	1-9	0-0	0-0	7	3	0	0	2
Wyatt Fricks	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

107.4Offensive Efficiency116.5

116.5Defensive Efficiency107.4

-9.1Net Efficiency9.1

52.7%Effective FG%53.8%

54.2%True Shooting %56.9%

13.8%Turnover Rate16.5%

40.0%Free Throw Rate63.5%

29.1%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.44Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Marshall won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.