Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Idaho State

37.9%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -164

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 76

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 75

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricNorthern Arizona

45.9MMH Power Index36.9

111.0Offensive Efficiency107.1

113.4Defensive Efficiency114.8

-2.4Net Efficiency-7.7

0.2Strength of Schedule-1.8

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

67.1Tempo66.6

52.2%Effective FG%53.5%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.8%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

39.1%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-1.6Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–36.9), offensive efficiency (111.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (113.4–114.8), net efficiency (-2.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–52.2), ball security (15.8–16.5).

Final

Idaho State

72—67

Northern Arizona

Idaho State by 5 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

26-56FG23-58

46.0%FG%40.0%

5-133PT10-27

38.0%3PT%37.0%

15-25FT11-19

60.0%FT%58.0%

41Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists15

12Turnovers14

7Steals5

5Blocks3

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	30	5-10	2-2	8-10	1	7	2	1	20
Isaiah Griffin	F	34	5-11	1-3	1-4	2	1	2	0	12
Jake O'Neil	Guard	39	4-11	1-4	2-2	15	0	1	1	11
Blake Daberkow	F	16	4-6	1-1	0-1	2	1	0	0	9
Connor Hollenbeck	F	35	1-5	0-1	4-4	4	2	1	0	6
Evan Otten	F	23	3-3	0-0	0-4	7	1	0	3	6
AJ Burgin	Guard	12	3-7	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Jackson Greene	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jaedyn Brown	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quentin Meza	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Towt	F	38	7-14	0-0	2-6	12	3	2	0	16
Jayden Jackson	G	37	5-8	2-4	3-4	4	3	0	0	15
Monty Bowser	G	35	5-10	4-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	14
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	39	4-18	2-11	2-3	1	5	2	0	12
Jack Wistrcill	Forward	23	1-4	1-3	2-4	3	1	0	0	5
Ryan Abelman	G	6	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	2	2
Ali Ragab	Center	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Oakland Fort	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Diego Campisano	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

108.3Offensive Efficiency100.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency108.3

7.5Net Efficiency-7.5

50.9%Effective FG%48.3%

53.0%True Shooting %50.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate20.6%

44.6%Free Throw Rate32.8%

23.2%3-Point Rate46.6%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.