St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%St. Thomas-Minnesota

60.3%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -152

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 75

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 79

Team Comparison

St. Thomas-MinnesotaMetricNorth Dakota State

59.8MMH Power Index59

116.8Offensive Efficiency115.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency100.8

14.6Net Efficiency14.6

-3.6Strength of Schedule-4.6

14.7Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

70.0Tempo69.6

59.2%Effective FG%54.5%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

22.1%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

10.2Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–59.0), offensive efficiency (116.8–115.4), strength of schedule (-3.6–-4.6), recent form (14.7–14.3).

North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.8–102.2), net efficiency (14.6–14.6), offensive rebounding (32.0–22.1).

Final

St. Thomas-Minnesota

89—85

North Dakota State

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 4 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. Thomas-MinnesotaTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

31-57FG26-61

54.0%FG%43.0%

15-323PT13-32

47.0%3PT%41.0%

12-18FT20-24

67.0%FT%83.0%

25Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds16

11Assists14

4Turnovers10

7Steals2

2Blocks2

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Barnstable	G	25	6-11	3-8	5-7	3	1	1	0	20
Drake Dobbs	Guard	30	5-8	4-5	4-4	3	4	0	0	18
Kendall Blue	G	29	5-11	4-7	1-4	3	0	1	0	15
Ben Nau	Guard	15	4-7	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Nolan Minessale	G	35	4-8	0-1	0-0	4	5	2	1	8
Carter Bjerke	F	25	3-7	2-6	0-1	3	0	0	0	8
Ryan Dufault	G	19	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	0	6
Rich Byhre	Forward	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Ben Oosterbaan	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Ryan Lafferty	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacksen Moni	Forward	35	8-14	4-6	5-5	3	4	0	2	25
Brennan Watkins	G	33	6-10	4-7	2-2	3	4	1	0	18
Noah Feddersen	F	33	5-10	2-5	2-2	9	0	0	0	14
Jacari White	G	34	2-13	1-6	7-8	8	3	0	0	12
Tajavis Miller	G	15	2-6	1-3	4-7	3	0	1	0	9
Masen Miller	Guard	27	2-4	1-3	0-0	6	3	0	0	5
Darik Dissette	Guard	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Andy Stefonowicz	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Kasubke	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

135.9Offensive Efficiency129.8

129.8Defensive Efficiency135.9

6.1Net Efficiency-6.1

67.5%Effective FG%53.3%

67.9%True Shooting %58.7%

6.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

31.6%Free Throw Rate39.3%

56.1%3-Point Rate52.5%

2.75Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.