Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Little Rock

76.0%UT Martin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Martin -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL138.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Martin -317

UT Martin

22-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 64

Projected Total138.0

Projected ScoreUT Martin 74

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricUT Martin

44MMH Power Index49.8

103.0Offensive Efficiency103.8

108.2Defensive Efficiency94.0

-5.2Net Efficiency9.8

0.5Strength of Schedule-4.8

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.8

68.5Tempo67.2

50.3%Effective FG%49.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate21.4%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %37.9%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%

-3.6Average Margin6.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Martin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Martin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.8–44.0), offensive efficiency (103.8–103.0), defensive efficiency (94.0–108.2), net efficiency (9.8–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-4.8), recent form (-0.7–-0.8), shooting efficiency (50.3–49.5).

Final

Little Rock

57—56

UT Martin

Little Rock by 1 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATUT Martin

20-51FG16-55

39.0%FG%29.0%

6-243PT7-32

25.0%3PT%22.0%

11-13FT17-25

85.0%FT%68.0%

39Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds17

15Assists10

17Turnovers13

7Steals8

8Blocks3

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Lawson	G	39	4-12	3-7	3-3	6	0	2	0	14
Travonne Jackson	G	26	4-7	2-4	2-2	1	0	0	1	12
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	38	3-5	0-0	3-5	10	5	4	2	9
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	38	3-12	1-8	0-0	7	1	0	2	7
Ante Beljan	F	22	2-4	0-0	3-3	6	3	1	1	7
Isaiah Lewis	G	32	3-10	0-5	0-0	6	6	0	1	6
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UT Martin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josue Grullon	G	26	7-19	3-11	3-6	5	1	0	1	20
Filip Radakovic	G	26	2-3	2-2	2-2	7	0	1	0	8
Andrija Bukumirovic	F	19	3-4	1-1	1-4	4	0	0	1	8
Matija Žužic	G	31	1-8	1-8	4-4	2	2	1	0	7
Tarence Guinyard	G	30	1-6	0-1	5-6	3	2	1	0	7
Vlad Salaridze	F	25	0-4	0-3	2-3	8	2	2	0	2
Afan Trnka	G	19	1-6	0-4	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Stefano Faloppa	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
AJ Hopkins	F	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Lamine Niang	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Carlos Cortijo	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

90.3Offensive Efficiency88.7

88.7Defensive Efficiency90.3

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

45.1%Effective FG%35.5%

49.8%True Shooting %41.9%

26.9%Turnover Rate20.7%

25.5%Free Throw Rate45.5%

47.1%3-Point Rate58.2%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.