Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.6%Montana State

61.4%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -159

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 74

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreIdaho 78

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricIdaho

53.6MMH Power Index53.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency111.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency104.3

9.5Net Efficiency7.3

-3.7Strength of Schedule-2.4

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

68.1Tempo69.7

55.1%Effective FG%52.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate34.6%

6.5Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–53.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.6), net efficiency (9.5–7.3), recent form (4.9–4.5).

Idaho COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.3–104.9), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (29.5–28.1).

Final

Montana State

64—69

Idaho

Idaho by 5 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATIdaho

22-57FG22-56

39.0%FG%39.0%

6-273PT7-20

22.0%3PT%35.0%

14-23FT18-26

61.0%FT%69.0%

35Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists12

10Turnovers11

7Steals6

6Blocks1

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick McMahon	G	27	6-11	0-4	3-4	5	0	0	0	15
Brian Goracke	Forward	21	5-9	1-4	3-3	5	1	2	0	14
Tyler Patterson	Guard	24	4-7	2-5	0-0	0	0	3	0	10
Jabe Mullins	Guard	31	3-8	1-3	2-2	3	3	1	1	9
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	33	3-12	2-5	0-0	9	2	0	2	8
Brandon Walker	F	17	1-4	0-1	3-10	4	1	0	1	5
Jed Miller	G	24	0-6	0-5	2-2	6	0	1	1	2
BJ Kolly	F	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Chika Nduka	Forward	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Mrus	F	35	3-7	2-6	6-6	7	1	0	0	14
Tyler Linhardt	F	18	4-6	2-3	4-8	3	0	0	0	14
Kristian Gonzalez	G	32	4-9	3-5	2-2	4	1	2	0	13
Julius Mims	F	21	4-4	0-0	3-4	9	1	1	0	11
Jack Payne	G	25	3-7	0-4	1-2	7	3	1	0	7
Kolton Mitchell	G	32	2-12	0-2	0-0	1	6	2	0	4
Takai Hardy	Forward	14	1-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Jojo Anderson	G	13	0-3	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Brickner	G	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ewan Steele	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

91.8Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency91.8

-7.2Net Efficiency7.2

43.9%Effective FG%45.5%

47.1%True Shooting %50.5%

14.1%Turnover Rate16.1%

40.4%Free Throw Rate46.4%

47.4%3-Point Rate35.7%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Idaho won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.