UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.5%UC Davis

21.5%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -365

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 83

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 74

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal State Bakersfield

48.4MMH Power Index32.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

103.7Defensive Efficiency112.6

3.5Net Efficiency-12.4

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

72.4Tempo73.0

52.3%Effective FG%46.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

41.5%Free Throw Rate43.8%

2.5Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (103.7–112.6), net efficiency (3.5–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-1.9), offensive rebounding (30.2–26.7), free throw rate (43.8–41.5).

Final

UC Davis

64—75

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 11 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

20-53FG22-60

38.0%FG%37.0%

4-213PT5-13

19.0%3PT%38.0%

20-28FT26-33

71.0%FT%79.0%

35Rebounds42

14Offensive Rebounds19

5Assists8

12Turnovers10

2Steals6

1Blocks1

25Fouls24

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	39	8-22	1-4	9-11	8	2	0	0	26
Connor Sevilla	G	37	2-7	2-6	4-4	5	0	1	0	10
Niko Rocak	F	27	3-7	0-2	2-2	11	0	0	0	8
Pablo Tamba	F	15	3-3	0-0	2-4	0	0	0	0	8
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	36	2-8	1-6	2-4	2	1	1	0	7
Nils Cooper	G	21	1-2	0-1	0-1	2	2	0	1	2
Sione Lose	Guard	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Derek Sangster	F	2	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Jac Mani	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hardy	G	35	4-11	2-2	10-15	4	5	1	0	20
Marvin McGhee III	G	30	4-10	2-5	4-4	2	2	1	0	14
Jemel Jones	G	26	5-11	1-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	13
Corey Stephenson	G	30	5-17	0-3	2-2	13	0	0	0	12
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	30	2-6	0-0	6-8	8	1	3	0	10
Tom Mark	F	20	1-1	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	1	4
Shakir Odunewu	C	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jaden Alexander	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Marvin McGhee IV	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kadar Waller	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

97.7Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency97.7

-16.8Net Efficiency16.8

41.5%Effective FG%40.8%

48.3%True Shooting %49.6%

18.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

52.8%Free Throw Rate55.0%

39.6%3-Point Rate21.7%

0.42Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.