Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Cal State Northridge

60.9%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL168.2

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -156

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 82

Projected Total168.2

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 86

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricCal State Fullerton

50MMH Power Index49.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency108.8

105.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

2.1Net Efficiency1.7

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.2

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

75.9Tempo76.3

51.0%Effective FG%52.6%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

34.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

1.6Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–49.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–107.1), net efficiency (2.1–1.7), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.2).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–107.3), recent form (2.7–1.8), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.0).

Final

Cal State Northridge

95—65

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Northridge by 30 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

30-66FG20-46

45.0%FG%43.0%

17-393PT7-19

44.0%3PT%37.0%

18-26FT18-24

69.0%FT%75.0%

35Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds6

17Assists8

7Turnovers22

11Steals5

2Blocks2

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	26	6-12	6-10	2-2	2	1	3	0	20
Scotty Washington	G	25	6-15	4-13	2-2	3	3	0	0	18
Grady Lewis	F	17	6-9	0-0	3-4	6	0	0	1	15
Tyler Beard	Guard	18	4-5	2-2	1-2	1	4	3	0	11
Keonte Jones	G	28	2-5	1-3	3-6	5	3	2	1	8
PJ Fuller II	Guard	20	1-8	1-5	3-4	0	1	0	0	6
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	4	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Judson Martindale	Forward	6	1-1	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Jordan Brinson	G	17	1-4	1-2	0-0	5	3	0	0	3
Robert Thibiant	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Mahmoud Fofana	F	23	0-2	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	0	2
Jalen Barbee	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	0
Sabien Cain	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Oday	G	24	4-9	0-3	7-7	6	2	1	0	15
Kaleb Brown	G	26	5-8	4-6	0-0	4	2	1	0	14
Kobe Young	Guard	23	3-7	1-2	4-5	10	0	1	0	11
John Mikey Square	Not Available	26	2-4	0-0	3-5	2	1	0	1	7
Kendrick De Luna	F	29	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	1	2	1	5
Keith Richard	Guard	18	1-6	0-2	3-4	0	2	0	0	5
LoLo Rudolph	Guard	20	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Zion Richardson	Guard	19	1-6	1-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Zachary Visentin	Center	15	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

129.4Offensive Efficiency88.6

88.6Defensive Efficiency129.4

40.9Net Efficiency-40.9

58.3%Effective FG%51.1%

60.6%True Shooting %56.6%

9.5%Turnover Rate30.0%

39.4%Free Throw Rate52.2%

59.1%3-Point Rate41.3%

2.43Assist / Turnover0.36

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.