Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Fairfield

71.3%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -248

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 67

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreMerrimack 73

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricMerrimack

50.1MMH Power Index53.7

109.6Offensive Efficiency106.4

105.4Defensive Efficiency103.2

4.2Net Efficiency3.2

-3.4Strength of Schedule0.7

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

67.8Tempo64.4

49.1%Effective FG%49.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

28.4%Free Throw Rate39.5%

2.8Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.1), defensive efficiency (103.2–105.4), strength of schedule (0.7–-3.4), recent form (12.9–3.3).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–106.4), net efficiency (4.2–3.2), offensive rebounding (36.0–24.7).

Final

Fairfield

54—67

Merrimack

Merrimack by 13 • 61.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATMerrimack

21-57FG26-52

37.0%FG%50.0%

1-173PT9-15

6.0%3PT%60.0%

11-13FT6-10

85.0%FT%60.0%

41Rebounds23

17Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists14

15Turnovers8

3Steals11

2Blocks7

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Sparks	G	27	3-6	1-3	5-5	1	0	0	0	12
Prophet Johnson	G	19	5-9	0-1	2-2	6	3	1	0	12
Isaac Munkadi	F	21	4-6	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	9
Michael Rogan	G	20	3-6	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	6
Birima Seck	Forward	10	2-5	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	0	5
Peyton Smith	F	10	1-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
Jamie Bergens	Guard	30	1-7	0-3	0-0	2	2	2	0	2
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	23	1-3	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	1	2
Makuei Riek	Guard	4	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Deon Perry	Guard	21	0-6	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Matt Curtis	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Best	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Savage	Guard	30	7-8	7-8	0-0	5	0	0	1	21
Adam Clark	G	35	7-19	0-1	4-5	1	5	2	0	18
Bryan Etumnu	F	32	5-8	0-1	0-0	4	0	3	3	10
Malik Edmead	G	18	3-5	1-1	0-0	0	4	2	1	7
Sean Trumper	Forward	30	2-5	0-1	2-3	5	1	3	0	6
Matt Becht	Guard	25	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	3	0	0	3
David Murray	Forward	7	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	1	0	2	2
Tye Dorset	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Armandas Plintauskas	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Foy	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.0Possessions61.0

88.5Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency88.5

-21.3Net Efficiency21.3

37.7%Effective FG%58.7%

42.7%True Shooting %59.0%

24.5%Turnover Rate13.2%

22.8%Free Throw Rate19.2%

29.8%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 61.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.