Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Chicago State

78.0%Wagner

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -355

Wagner

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 66

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreWagner 77

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricWagner

36.1MMH Power Index42.9

99.4Offensive Efficiency105.5

114.9Defensive Efficiency106.1

-15.5Net Efficiency-0.6

0.5Strength of Schedule-5.0

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

66.2Tempo67.6

45.6%Effective FG%50.2%

15.8%Turnover Rate18.9%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.6%

-10.3Average Margin-0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–36.1), offensive efficiency (105.5–99.4), defensive efficiency (106.1–114.9), net efficiency (-0.6–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-5.0), ball security (15.8–18.9).

Final

Chicago State

64—52

Wagner

Chicago State by 12 • 59.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATWagner

22-44FG19-50

50.0%FG%38.0%

7-203PT4-21

35.0%3PT%19.0%

13-18FT10-13

72.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists10

13Turnovers12

7Steals6

2Blocks—

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noble Crawford	Forward	33	5-10	1-4	4-5	5	1	2	2	15
Jalen Forrest	G	35	5-9	2-4	2-4	6	2	0	0	14
Dailliss Cox	F	33	5-7	0-1	3-4	7	2	2	0	13
Matthew Robinson	Guard	34	3-6	3-4	2-3	3	2	2	0	11
Gabe Spinelli	G	30	2-5	1-3	2-2	2	3	1	0	7
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Troy McKoy Jr.	Guard	12	1-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
CJ Delancy	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Brown	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zaire Williams	G	37	6-11	2-6	2-3	6	2	5	16
Zae Blake	G	13	5-7	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	12
R.J. Greene	G	24	2-10	0-1	4-4	3	1	0	8
Keyontae Lewis	F	19	3-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	7
Javier Ezquerra	G	28	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	4	0	3
Tyje Kelton	F	24	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	3
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	2
Ja'Kair Sanchez	G	15	0-5	0-5	1-2	1	0	0	1
Zavier Fitch	F	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Churchill Bounds	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.9Possessions59.9

106.8Offensive Efficiency86.8

86.8Defensive Efficiency106.8

20.0Net Efficiency-20.0

58.0%Effective FG%42.0%

60.9%True Shooting %46.3%

21.5%Turnover Rate20.3%

40.9%Free Throw Rate26.0%

45.5%3-Point Rate42.0%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Chicago State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 59.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.