Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.9%Central Connecticut

31.1%Saint Francis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -222

Saint Francis

7-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 78

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 72

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricSaint Francis

44.4MMH Power Index32.7

111.4Offensive Efficiency101.2

107.0Defensive Efficiency114.7

4.4Net Efficiency-13.5

-7.7Strength of Schedule-2.3

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.5

66.3Tempo70.6

54.0%Effective FG%49.8%

15.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %28.4%

31.3%Free Throw Rate31.2%

2.9Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–32.7), offensive efficiency (111.4–101.2), defensive efficiency (107.0–114.7), net efficiency (4.4–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-7.7), offensive rebounding (28.4–28.2).

Final

Central Connecticut

74—59

Saint Francis

Central Connecticut by 15 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATSaint Francis

28-59FG24-57

47.0%FG%42.0%

8-263PT6-22

31.0%3PT%27.0%

10-11FT5-7

91.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists11

9Turnovers13

9Steals4

4Blocks2

7Fouls11

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Jones	Guard	36	11-15	4-7	0-0	4	4	1	0	26
Devin Haid	G	33	6-15	1-6	5-5	8	2	1	1	18
Abdul Momoh	F	28	2-4	0-0	5-6	7	2	2	2	9
Jayden Brown	Forward	27	4-7	1-2	0-0	2	0	2	1	9
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	19	3-7	1-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	7
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	30	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	0	2	0	3
Darin Smith Jr.	F	16	1-3	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Max Frazier	F	9	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
James Jones	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Parker	G	34	5-9	2-6	0-0	3	3	1	0	12
Valentino Pinedo	F	31	5-14	0-0	2-4	8	0	1	1	12
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	33	4-8	0-3	0-0	6	0	1	0	8
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	32	3-11	2-7	0-0	4	2	0	0	8
Jeremy Clayville	G	24	3-5	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Daemar Kelly	G	28	2-7	0-2	2-2	2	2	0	1	6
Miles Webb	F	14	2-3	0-0	1-1	5	2	0	0	5
Victor Payne	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Moncrief	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

114.2Offensive Efficiency91.0

91.0Defensive Efficiency114.2

23.1Net Efficiency-23.1

54.2%Effective FG%47.4%

57.6%True Shooting %48.9%

13.8%Turnover Rate20.2%

18.6%Free Throw Rate12.3%

44.1%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.11Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.