NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%NC State

55.7%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWake Forest -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL161.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWake Forest -126

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 80

Projected Total161.5

Projected ScoreWake Forest 81

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricWake Forest

60.1MMH Power Index57.6

118.4Offensive Efficiency112.4

108.6Defensive Efficiency109.7

9.8Net Efficiency2.7

6.4Strength of Schedule7.2

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.2Tempo70.2

55.1%Effective FG%52.8%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

35.7%Free Throw Rate36.1%

6.9Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–57.6), offensive efficiency (118.4–112.4), defensive efficiency (108.6–109.7), net efficiency (9.8–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–6.4), recent form (-0.1–-11.9), offensive rebounding (30.0–28.2).

Final

NC State

59—77

Wake Forest

Wake Forest by 18 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATWake Forest

20-50FG28-51

40.0%FG%55.0%

4-133PT6-16

31.0%3PT%38.0%

15-21FT15-19

71.0%FT%79.0%

25Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists13

13Turnovers11

3Steals5

1Blocks7

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	34	7-12	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	14
Dontrez Styles	Guard	25	3-8	0-3	5-7	10	0	1	0	11
Michael O'Connell	Guard	27	4-10	2-4	0-0	4	2	1	0	10
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	21	2-2	0-0	5-6	3	0	0	0	9
Jayden Taylor	Guard	26	2-8	1-3	1-2	1	3	0	0	6
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	26	0-3	0-1	4-6	1	1	0	1	4
Breon Pass	Guard	17	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Trey Parker	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryce Heard	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ismael Diouf	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	35	8-14	2-4	2-2	5	3	1	1	20
Juke Harris	G	28	6-8	1-2	4-6	5	1	0	0	17
Tre'Von Spillers	F	33	6-7	0-0	0-1	5	0	1	4	12
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	38	2-7	1-4	4-4	3	4	1	0	9
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	32	2-9	0-2	4-5	4	4	1	1	8
Parker Friedrichsen	G	14	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Efton Reid III	Forward	20	2-2	0-0	1-1	5	1	1	1	5

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

92.9Offensive Efficiency121.3

121.3Defensive Efficiency92.9

-28.3Net Efficiency28.3

44.0%Effective FG%60.8%

49.2%True Shooting %64.1%

20.3%Turnover Rate17.5%

42.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

26.0%3-Point Rate31.4%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.