North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.2%North Carolina

22.8%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -339

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 80

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 73

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricNotre Dame

65.2MMH Power Index49.7

115.5Offensive Efficiency110.3

103.8Defensive Efficiency111.2

11.7Net Efficiency-0.9

7.6Strength of Schedule4.7

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

69.0Tempo68.0

54.6%Effective FG%53.0%

13.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

38.1%Free Throw Rate34.7%

8.1Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–49.7), offensive efficiency (115.5–110.3), defensive efficiency (103.8–111.2), net efficiency (11.7–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.4–31.1).

Final

North Carolina

74—73

Notre Dame

North Carolina by 1 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATNotre Dame

27-51FG25-57

53.0%FG%44.0%

6-213PT7-23

29.0%3PT%30.0%

14-18FT16-21

78.0%FT%76.0%

30Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists7

13Turnovers13

4Steals10

8Blocks—

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Jackson	G	38	11-18	2-7	3-5	6	1	1	1	27
Elliot Cadeau	G	32	3-5	2-3	2-3	1	6	0	0	10
RJ Davis	Guard	36	3-9	0-3	2-2	1	7	0	0	8
Drake Powell	Guard	27	3-8	1-6	1-2	4	0	0	1	8
Jalen Washington	C	23	3-3	0-0	2-2	6	0	1	5	8
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	19	3-5	1-1	0-0	4	0	2	0	7
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	14	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	4
Cade Tyson	G	8	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
James Brown	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Markus Burton	G	23	7-14	0-3	9-10	0	2	2	23
Tae Davis	F	38	6-14	0-1	5-8	3	2	1	17
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	38	6-15	4-11	0-0	6	1	1	16
Matt Allocco	Guard	34	2-6	2-5	2-2	5	1	2	8
Kebba Njie	F	21	2-3	0-1	0-1	6	0	0	4
J.R. Konieczny	F	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	3
Julian Roper II	Guard	19	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	3	2
Garrett Sundra	F	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0
Sir Mohammed	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

109.1Offensive Efficiency107.7

107.7Defensive Efficiency109.1

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

58.8%Effective FG%50.0%

62.1%True Shooting %54.5%

19.2%Turnover Rate19.1%

35.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

41.2%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.54

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.