Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.1%Toledo

21.9%Western Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -357

Western Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 83

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 76

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricWestern Michigan

58.8MMH Power Index42.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency106.9

109.6Defensive Efficiency113.6

6.4Net Efficiency-6.7

2.3Strength of Schedule2.0

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

69.8Tempo69.9

55.1%Effective FG%50.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

30.3%Free Throw Rate34.6%

4.5Average Margin-4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–42.8), offensive efficiency (116.0–106.9), defensive efficiency (109.6–113.6), net efficiency (6.4–-6.7).

Western Michigan COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.0–30.4), free throw rate (34.6–30.3).

Final

Toledo

76—70

Western Michigan

Toledo by 6 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATWestern Michigan

25-64FG26-76

39.0%FG%34.0%

7-283PT7-27

25.0%3PT%26.0%

19-25FT11-18

76.0%FT%61.0%

41Rebounds53

10Offensive Rebounds22

15Assists15

9Turnovers10

3Steals6

6Blocks4

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	37	7-11	2-3	4-6	7	5	1	0	20
Sam Lewis	G	33	5-16	1-6	3-6	10	2	1	3	14
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	24	3-9	2-7	2-2	1	0	1	0	10
Javan Simmons	F	31	3-7	0-1	3-3	9	1	0	1	9
Bryce Ford	G	23	4-9	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	9
Seth Hubbard	G	22	1-5	1-5	6-6	0	2	0	0	9
Grgur Brcic	C	9	1-2	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	1	3
Isaiah Adams	Guard	21	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	1	2

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chansey Willis Jr.	G	37	7-20	1-7	6-8	4	7	0	0	21
JaVaughn Hannah	G	24	5-11	2-4	1-1	7	3	1	0	13
Owen Lobsinger	Forward	32	4-13	1-9	2-5	13	2	2	1	11
Donovan Williams	Guard	17	4-7	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	2	9
Brandon Muntu	G	24	2-6	2-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	8
Markhi Strickland	G	32	3-12	0-1	0-2	6	0	1	0	6
Max Burton	F	26	1-6	0-0	0-0	9	0	1	1	2
Michael Sulaka	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Marquese Josephs	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Seryee Lewis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

103.0Offensive Efficiency94.9

94.9Defensive Efficiency103.0

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

44.5%Effective FG%38.8%

50.1%True Shooting %41.4%

12.0%Turnover Rate13.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate23.7%

43.8%3-Point Rate35.5%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Toledo won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.