Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.9%Bellarmine

82.1%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -459

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 76

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 87

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricCentral Arkansas

44.9MMH Power Index54

119.6Offensive Efficiency113.9

122.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

-2.5Net Efficiency8.7

-2.8Strength of Schedule-3.9

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

66.9Tempo71.0

60.0%Effective FG%54.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

35.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-1.7Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–44.9), defensive efficiency (105.2–122.1), net efficiency (8.7–-2.5), recent form (9.8–0.3).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–113.9), strength of schedule (-2.8–-3.9), shooting efficiency (60.0–54.3).

Final

Bellarmine

65—71

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 6 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

25-57FG22-55

44.0%FG%40.0%

10-303PT10-34

33.0%3PT%29.0%

5-7FT17-27

71.0%FT%63.0%

35Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists14

14Turnovers11

5Steals9

1Blocks—

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Billy Smith	G	31	8-17	5-12	0-0	3	2	0	0	21
Ben Johnson	G	32	3-9	2-6	0-0	2	3	2	0	8
Jack Karasinski	F	27	3-9	0-3	2-2	6	4	0	1	8
Landin Hacker	Guard	16	3-7	2-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Dezmond McKinney	Guard	16	3-4	0-0	2-3	6	2	1	0	8
Tyler Doyle	G	24	3-5	1-1	0-0	5	3	1	0	7
Curt Hopf	Forward	22	1-1	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	3
AJ Lux	Guard	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kenyon Goodin	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Grant Whitaker	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Myles Watkins	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Layne Taylor	G	34	8-19	5-14	8-9	5	3	1	29
Elias Cato	Forward	29	7-8	2-3	5-7	7	2	1	21
Ben Fox	Guard	28	3-9	3-9	0-0	3	0	0	9
Mike Evbagharu	G	34	1-3	0-1	3-6	9	3	2	5
Cole McCormick	F	28	1-6	0-4	1-2	4	2	3	3
Brayden Fagbemi	G	17	1-6	0-1	0-1	4	3	1	2
Ethan Thomas	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Diogo Seixas	Forward	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0
Nehemiah Turner	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

96.9Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency96.9

-8.9Net Efficiency8.9

52.6%Effective FG%49.1%

53.9%True Shooting %52.3%

20.8%Turnover Rate16.5%

12.3%Free Throw Rate49.1%

52.6%3-Point Rate61.8%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.