Omaha

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.7%Omaha

89.3%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -15.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -835

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOmaha 69

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 85

Team Comparison

OmahaMetricNorth Dakota State

44.5MMH Power Index59

110.2Offensive Efficiency115.4

110.8Defensive Efficiency100.8

-0.6Net Efficiency14.6

-2.5Strength of Schedule-4.6

-4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

69.0Tempo69.6

53.6%Effective FG%54.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.5%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

34.0%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-0.5Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–44.5), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.2), defensive efficiency (100.8–110.8), net efficiency (14.6–-0.6).

Omaha COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.5–-4.6), free throw rate (34.0–31.3).

Final

Omaha

85—80

North Dakota State

Omaha by 5 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OmahaTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

31-71FG23-55

44.0%FG%42.0%

12-283PT13-34

43.0%3PT%38.0%

11-16FT21-30

69.0%FT%70.0%

39Rebounds36

15Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists14

5Turnovers10

6Steals2

3Blocks—

24Fouls18

Player Box Score

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lance Waddles	G	25	6-9	5-8	7-9	5	1	1	0	24
Marquel Sutton	F	34	7-19	0-2	2-2	12	0	0	1	16
Tony Osburn	G	35	5-12	3-7	0-0	3	2	1	0	13
JJ White	G	25	5-10	2-5	1-2	0	3	0	0	13
Ja'Sean Glover	G	22	4-9	2-4	1-2	1	0	0	1	11
Kamryn Thomas	F	29	3-8	0-2	0-0	6	1	3	1	6
Joshua Streit	Forward	20	1-4	0-0	0-1	6	2	0	0	2
Isaac Ondekane	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Grant Stubblefield	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jacksen Moni	Forward	31	5-12	2-8	11-12	2	3	1	23
Masen Miller	Guard	33	7-12	5-10	1-3	4	2	0	20
Tajavis Miller	G	27	4-10	3-4	3-5	10	2	1	14
Brennan Watkins	G	30	2-4	2-3	4-6	4	2	0	10
Jacari White	G	26	3-11	1-7	1-2	5	1	0	8
Noah Feddersen	F	30	2-5	0-2	1-2	5	1	0	5
Luke Kasubke	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Darik Dissette	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0
Andy Stefonowicz	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

122.5Offensive Efficiency115.3

115.3Defensive Efficiency122.5

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

52.1%Effective FG%53.6%

54.1%True Shooting %57.8%

7.3%Turnover Rate14.2%

22.5%Free Throw Rate54.5%

39.4%3-Point Rate61.8%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Omaha won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.