Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.9%Ball State

88.1%Kent State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKent State -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEKent State -740

Kent State

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 69

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreKent State 83

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricKent State

41.3MMH Power Index54.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency113.9

104.7Defensive Efficiency107.6

-3.0Net Efficiency6.3

-3.9Strength of Schedule-0.1

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.1

66.4Tempo74.0

48.3%Effective FG%53.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

33.0%Free Throw Rate43.5%

-2.0Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kent State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKent State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–41.3), offensive efficiency (113.9–101.7), net efficiency (6.3–-3.0), strength of schedule (-0.1–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–107.6), ball security (16.0–17.7).

Final

Ball State

75—67

Kent State

Ball State by 8 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATKent State

24-46FG24-67

52.0%FG%36.0%

9-183PT9-34

50.0%3PT%26.0%

18-26FT10-13

69.0%FT%77.0%

39Rebounds26

7Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists13

23Turnovers10

5Steals11

3Blocks2

14Fouls20

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fatt Hill	G	36	5-11	2-4	6-8	5	6	0	0	18
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	29	4-6	2-3	4-6	9	3	0	2	14
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	30	4-9	1-2	4-6	3	2	0	1	13
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	25	3-3	2-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	10
Ben Hendriks	Center	14	4-5	0-0	0-2	1	0	1	0	8
Juanse Gorosito	G	29	2-8	2-7	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Payton Sparks	Center	26	2-4	0-0	2-2	12	1	1	0	6
Mason Jones	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Kent State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
VonCameron Davis	Forward	32	7-19	2-5	4-5	4	1	3	0	20
Jamal Sumlin	G	20	5-7	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	12
Jalen Sullinger	Guard	35	4-16	1-9	1-2	1	4	2	0	10
Anthony Morales	Forward	17	2-6	2-6	1-2	1	1	1	0	7
Cli'Ron Hornbeak	Center	17	3-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	6
Marquis Barnett	Not Available	16	2-4	2-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	6
Cian Medley	G	25	0-8	0-6	4-4	4	4	1	0	4
Delrecco Gillespie	F	27	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	1	2
Mike Bekelja	Guard	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

101.6Offensive Efficiency90.8

90.8Defensive Efficiency101.6

10.8Net Efficiency-10.8

62.0%Effective FG%42.5%

64.3%True Shooting %45.8%

30.9%Turnover Rate13.7%

56.5%Free Throw Rate19.4%

39.1%3-Point Rate50.7%

0.61Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Ball State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.