South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.7%South Alabama

56.3%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Southern -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Southern -129

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 76

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 78

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricGeorgia Southern

51.4MMH Power Index49.1

110.3Offensive Efficiency112.3

103.9Defensive Efficiency110.6

6.4Net Efficiency1.7

-3.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

67.4Tempo72.0

53.2%Effective FG%52.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate14.5%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

39.8%Free Throw Rate39.5%

4.3Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–110.6), net efficiency (6.4–1.7), recent form (3.4–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–110.3), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (28.6–24.9).

Final

South Alabama

76—47

Georgia Southern

South Alabama by 29 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

25-54FG16-48

46.0%FG%33.0%

10-243PT8-31

42.0%3PT%26.0%

16-24FT7-15

67.0%FT%47.0%

37Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists13

13Turnovers23

13Steals7

5Blocks3

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Judah Brown	Forward	28	4-8	3-7	0-0	4	2	1	1	11
John Broom	G	27	3-5	3-4	2-2	7	2	4	1	11
Myles Corey	G	25	5-11	0-2	1-3	1	2	0	0	11
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	24	4-8	1-2	1-2	3	2	1	0	10
JJ Wheat	G	23	2-3	1-1	4-4	3	0	1	0	9
Cantia Rahming	Forward	21	3-6	0-0	2-2	11	4	2	1	8
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	19	2-4	0-2	3-6	5	0	2	2	7
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	15	1-5	1-4	2-2	1	1	1	0	5
Jayden Cooper	G	17	1-4	1-2	1-3	1	3	1	0	4
Caleb Kizer	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braylhan Thomas	G	25	4-8	3-6	0-0	2	1	1	1	11
Micah Smith	F	22	2-6	0-2	5-6	4	1	2	0	9
Eren Banks	G	31	3-8	2-6	0-1	1	1	0	0	8
Bradley Douglas	G	31	2-8	0-5	0-0	8	1	2	1	4
Nate Brafford	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-3	3	1	0	0	4
Nakavieon White	F	27	1-7	1-5	0-2	2	3	1	0	3
Dontae Horne	G	25	1-7	1-6	0-0	3	4	1	0	3
Avantae Parker	F	14	1-1	1-1	0-1	1	1	0	0	3
Tyson Brown	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	1	2
Collin Kuhl	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

111.3Offensive Efficiency68.8

68.8Defensive Efficiency111.3

42.5Net Efficiency-42.5

55.6%Effective FG%41.7%

58.1%True Shooting %42.6%

19.0%Turnover Rate33.8%

44.4%Free Throw Rate31.3%

44.4%3-Point Rate64.6%

1.31Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.