Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Samford

59.5%Western Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Carolina -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -147

Western Carolina

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 78

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 81

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricWestern Carolina

54.1MMH Power Index53

113.5Offensive Efficiency112.6

108.3Defensive Efficiency111.0

5.2Net Efficiency1.6

-2.9Strength of Schedule-0.9

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency13.1

69.5Tempo69.7

54.0%Effective FG%51.1%

13.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %36.1%

42.5%Free Throw Rate30.8%

3.6Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Samford HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSamford holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–53.0), offensive efficiency (113.5–112.6), defensive efficiency (108.3–111.0), net efficiency (5.2–1.6).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-2.9), offensive rebounding (36.1–25.3).

Final

Samford

88—69

Western Carolina

Samford by 19 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATWestern Carolina

28-53FG24-61

53.0%FG%39.0%

10-253PT11-28

40.0%3PT%39.0%

22-27FT10-14

81.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists10

17Turnovers20

8Steals8

3Blocks—

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Brownell	F	18	8-11	3-5	4-5	4	0	0	0	23
Trey Fort	G	25	6-9	3-5	3-5	3	1	2	1	18
Hamed Olayinka	F	13	5-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	12
Julian Brown	Guard	17	2-3	2-3	3-4	1	1	0	1	9
Josh Holloway	G	27	3-6	0-1	2-2	1	3	1	0	8
Collin Holloway	Forward	26	2-6	0-1	3-3	6	3	0	0	7
Riley Allenspach	F	11	0-3	0-1	5-6	3	0	0	0	5
Rylan Jones	Guard	28	1-6	1-5	0-0	4	6	3	0	3
Lukas Walls	G	20	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Zion Wilburn	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Brody Boyer	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paulie Stramaglia	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bernard Pelote	Forward	28	9-13	4-7	0-0	3	1	0	22
Cord Stansberry	G	26	4-11	1-3	2-2	1	0	2	11
CJ Hyland	G	23	3-7	2-5	2-2	2	3	2	10
Marcus Kell	F	23	2-3	1-2	3-4	2	0	1	8
Chevalier Emery	G	16	1-6	1-4	3-4	1	2	0	6
Vernon Collins	F	15	3-7	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	6
Brandon Morgan	G	30	1-10	1-6	0-1	6	3	0	3
Fischer Brown	G	17	1-2	1-1	0-0	5	1	1	3
Chase McKey	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0
Cinque Lemon	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

120.1Offensive Efficiency94.1

94.1Defensive Efficiency120.1

25.9Net Efficiency-25.9

62.3%Effective FG%48.4%

66.8%True Shooting %51.0%

23.0%Turnover Rate27.5%

50.9%Free Throw Rate23.0%

47.2%3-Point Rate45.9%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Samford won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.