Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Louisville

67.0%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -203

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 75

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreVirginia 80

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricVirginia

67.1MMH Power Index68.9

118.6Offensive Efficiency119.0

102.2Defensive Efficiency101.8

16.4Net Efficiency17.2

6.0Strength of Schedule5.2

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

71.0Tempo67.6

56.9%Effective FG%55.0%

16.8%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

34.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

11.7Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–67.1), offensive efficiency (119.0–118.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–102.2), net efficiency (17.2–16.4).

Louisville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.0–5.2), shooting efficiency (56.9–55.0), free throw rate (34.1–33.2).

Final

Louisville

70—50

Virginia

Louisville by 20 • 59.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATVirginia

25-57FG20-54

44.0%FG%37.0%

7-193PT5-26

37.0%3PT%19.0%

13-14FT5-6

93.0%FT%83.0%

42Rebounds25

14Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists13

9Turnovers10

6Steals5

5Blocks6

11Fouls16

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reyne Smith	Guard	30	5-10	5-10	0-0	2	2	1	0	15
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	16	6-10	1-1	2-2	8	0	1	1	15
J'Vonne Hadley	G	36	4-9	1-3	2-2	5	0	0	1	11
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	32	3-10	0-3	4-4	1	7	2	0	10
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	29	2-9	0-1	3-4	9	3	1	0	7
James Scott	F	24	3-5	0-0	0-0	9	3	1	1	6
Khani Rooths	F	10	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	4
Noah Waterman	Forward	17	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cole Sherman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Legg	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Patrick Antonelli	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Rohde	G	32	6-12	2-5	2-3	4	3	3	0	16
Isaac McKneely	G	35	5-10	3-7	0-0	3	4	1	0	13
Elijah Saunders	F	30	6-12	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	12
Jacob Cofie	F	24	2-7	0-1	1-1	3	1	0	2	5
Taine Murray	Guard	28	0-5	0-3	2-2	5	3	0	2	2
Ishan Sharma	F	17	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Blake Buchanan	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Dai Dai Ames	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Anthony Robinson	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0
TJ Power	F	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.8Possessions59.8

117.1Offensive Efficiency83.6

83.6Defensive Efficiency117.1

33.4Net Efficiency-33.4

50.0%Effective FG%41.7%

55.0%True Shooting %44.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

24.6%Free Throw Rate11.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Louisville won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 59.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.