Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.4%Northern Iowa

32.6%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL136.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -207

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 70

Projected Total136.1

Projected ScoreValparaiso 66

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricValparaiso

61MMH Power Index49.9

108.4Offensive Efficiency106.6

96.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

12.0Net Efficiency0.8

2.2Strength of Schedule0.3

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

64.1Tempo67.5

54.6%Effective FG%48.7%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

26.2%Free Throw Rate40.0%

7.7Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–49.9), offensive efficiency (108.4–106.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–105.8), net efficiency (12.0–0.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (32.4–21.9), free throw rate (40.0–26.2).

Final

Northern Iowa

73—80

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 7 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATValparaiso

25-50FG25-59

50.0%FG%42.0%

5-203PT9-29

25.0%3PT%31.0%

18-26FT21-24

69.0%FT%88.0%

36Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists13

14Turnovers6

2Steals8

3Blocks3

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tytan Anderson	Guard	32	7-10	0-0	13-17	9	2	1	0	27
Max Weisbrod	G	22	4-7	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	10
Leon Bond III	F	24	4-6	1-2	0-0	4	0	1	2	9
Will Hornseth	F	18	3-6	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	7
Trey Campbell	G	28	2-6	0-3	1-3	3	2	0	0	5
Redek Born	G	15	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	5
Jacob Hutson	Center	20	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	0	4
Ben Schwieger	F	23	1-6	1-5	0-0	5	0	0	1	3
Kyle Pock	F	18	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	35	6-10	2-4	6-9	5	3	2	0	20
Tyler Schmidt	G	32	4-12	3-8	4-4	5	3	3	0	15
Cooper Schwieger	F	35	3-7	0-1	7-7	3	0	0	0	13
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	22	5-11	1-7	2-2	1	2	0	0	13
All Wright	G	28	2-11	1-5	2-2	1	4	1	0	7
Kaspar Sepp	F	25	2-3	1-2	0-0	7	1	1	1	5
Devon Ellis	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Justus McNair	G	5	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	1	3
Isaiah Shaw	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

106.7Offensive Efficiency117.0

117.0Defensive Efficiency106.7

-10.2Net Efficiency10.2

55.0%Effective FG%50.0%

58.5%True Shooting %56.8%

20.5%Turnover Rate8.8%

52.0%Free Throw Rate40.7%

40.0%3-Point Rate49.2%

0.71Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.