San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%San Diego State

60.9%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -156

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 75

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricBoise State

60.1MMH Power Index59.5

110.3Offensive Efficiency113.9

99.3Defensive Efficiency107.1

11.0Net Efficiency6.8

3.8Strength of Schedule4.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

70.8Tempo68.6

53.2%Effective FG%52.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

39.6%Free Throw Rate42.7%

7.8Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–110.3), strength of schedule (4.2–3.8), recent form (5.2–0.4), ball security (17.0–17.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (60.1–59.5), defensive efficiency (99.3–107.1), net efficiency (11.0–6.8).

Final

San Diego State

76—68

Boise State

San Diego State by 8 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATBoise State

27-61FG20-53

44.0%FG%38.0%

7-173PT7-30

41.0%3PT%23.0%

15-24FT21-25

63.0%FT%84.0%

39Rebounds29

15Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists13

11Turnovers13

7Steals4

—Blocks2

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	34	8-15	3-6	3-7	4	2	1	22
Taj DeGourville	G	21	4-7	1-2	4-5	6	1	1	13
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	30	4-10	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	9
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	16	3-6	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	8
Nick Boyd	G	32	1-6	0-1	5-6	3	5	0	7
Miles Heide	F	13	3-5	0-1	0-2	5	0	1	6
Magoon Gwath	F	26	2-7	0-1	0-0	4	1	2	4
BJ Davis	G	18	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	2	1	4
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	10	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	3

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	27	5-10	3-8	3-4	1	2	1	0	16
Andrew Meadow	F	34	4-8	0-3	6-6	3	0	1	0	14
Julian Bowie	G	15	3-6	2-4	2-2	3	1	0	1	10
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	37	1-7	0-5	7-8	3	2	1	0	9
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	27	3-12	2-6	1-3	2	6	1	0	9
Javan Buchanan	F	24	2-4	0-1	0-0	8	2	0	1	4
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	15	1-3	0-2	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
RJ Keene II	G	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dylan Anderson	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency110.6

11.6Net Efficiency-11.6

50.0%Effective FG%44.3%

52.5%True Shooting %52.4%

16.1%Turnover Rate18.9%

39.3%Free Throw Rate47.2%

27.9%3-Point Rate56.6%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.